USL Championship Β· Β·Group Stage

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio

Garuda Lions Prediction: Oakland Roots

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 20% model probability

Laney College Football StadiumReferee: C. May

Oakland Roots 40%
Draw 30%
San Antonio 30%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Oakland Roots wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
76%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
27%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
20% of simulated outcomes

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Oakland Roots vs San Antonio

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOakland RootsDrawSan Antonio
Model40.9%38.5%20.6%
Market39.6%27.6%32.8%
Final39.9%30.3%29.8%
Edge+1.4%+10.9%-12.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Oakland Roots

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.91 vs 0.57.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio match preview

In the upcoming USL Championship match, Oakland Roots will host San Antonio. The model indicates a 41% probability of an Oakland Roots victory, while a draw stands at 38% and San Antonio at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Oakland Roots, with a 20% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Oakland Roots is 0.91, compared to 0.57 for San Antonio, suggesting a tighter contest.

Recent form shows Oakland Roots with a mixed record of D-W-W-L-D-W, while San Antonio has struggled, posting L-D-D-L-D-W. In their last three encounters, Oakland Roots have secured 2 wins against San Antonio's 1, indicating a slight historical advantage. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting model-only probabilities.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Oakland Roots ↓ / San Antonio β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 24% 1 20% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 76%
2+ goals 45%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 24%

Oakland Roots and San Antonio expected goals

Oakland Roots 0.91
San Antonio 0.57

Total expected goals: 1.48

Oakland Roots and San Antonio attack and defence ratings

Oakland Roots

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.83 -17%

San Antonio

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Group Stage fixtures

USL Championship

Before and after this match

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Oakland Roots 39.9% 2.50 +1.4% 2.45
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81.4% 1.23 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 72.9% 1.37 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.2% 1.42 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 59.1% 1.69 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Oakland Roots39.9%
Draw30.3%
San Antonio29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.518.6%
Under 2.581.4%
Both teams to scoreYes27.1%
No72.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)69.7%
X2 (draw or away)60.1%
Handicap -1Oakland Roots win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)25.5%
Loss59.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.9%
1-019.6%
1-113.0%

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio stats

Oakland Roots and San Antonio recent form

newest first
Oakland Roots DWWLDW
San Antonio LDDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Oakland Roots and San Antonio season so far

league record

Oakland Roots record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Antonio record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Oakland Roots wins 0Draws 1San Antonio wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-23San AntonioOakland RootsUSL Championship0-1
2025-05-11San AntonioOakland RootsUSL Championship1-2
2025-03-23Oakland RootsSan AntonioUSL Championship1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Oakland Roots vs San Antonio odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 27.6%, away 32.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.28 3.30 2.65
Bet365 2.45 3.10 2.70
Betano 2.30 3.25 2.80
Betfair 2.30 3.30 2.80
Dafabet 2.35 3.35 2.90
Marathonbet 2.28 3.30 2.65
Pinnacle 2.35 3.46 2.85
William Hill 2.30 3.20 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 β–Ό -0.15
X 3.30 β–Ό -0.04
2 2.77 β–² +0.21

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Oakland Roots Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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