Garuda Lions
Today
USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio

1 – 0 Full time

15′N. Hernandez
25′N. HernandezL. Ricol
45′M. Arteaga
45′L. Berron
46′C. SortoL. Paredes
53′L. ParedesL. Haakenson
59′N. Sessock
60′K. ScottM. Ybarra
70′C. ParanoD. Pacheco
70′N. SessockB. Pope
70′L. BerronN. Blanco
84′T. Henry
85′J. RodriguezN. Jones
87′A. Crognale

Cashman FieldReferee: A. Ndiaye

Las Vegas Lights 39%
Draw 29%
San Antonio 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLas Vegas LightsDrawSan Antonio
Model40.8%34.0%25.2%
Market38.7%27.5%33.8%
Final39.2%29.2%31.6%
Edge+2.1%+6.5%-8.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Las Vegas Lights

  • The market prices Las Vegas Lights below the model: +2.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Las Vegas Ligh ↓ / San Antonio → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 11% 1 15% 15% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Las Vegas Lights and San Antonio expected goals

Las Vegas Lights 1.09
San Antonio 0.80

Total expected goals: 1.90

Las Vegas Lights and San Antonio attack and defence ratings

Las Vegas Lights

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.00 +0%

San Antonio

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio: result vs prediction

Las Vegas Lights 1 – 0 San Antonio

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Las Vegas Lights 39.2% 2.55 +2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.5% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 62.0% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.8% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.3% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Las Vegas Lights39.2%
Draw29.2%
San Antonio31.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.5%
Under 2.570.5%
Both teams to scoreYes38.0%
No62.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.4%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)60.8%
Handicap -1Las Vegas Lights win17.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss59.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.3%
1-015.1%
1-114.5%

Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio stats

Las Vegas Lights and San Antonio recent form

newest first
Las Vegas Lights LDWLLL
San Antonio DDLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Las Vegas Lights and San Antonio going into this match

league record before kick-off

Las Vegas Lights record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Antonio record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Las Vegas Lights wins 4Draws 4San Antonio wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-19San AntonioLas Vegas LightsUSL Championship1-2
2025-08-10Las Vegas LightsSan AntonioUSL Championship1-1
2025-06-08San AntonioLas Vegas LightsUSL Championship3-0
2024-05-12San AntonioLas Vegas LightsUSL Championship1-1
2024-04-07Las Vegas LightsSan AntonioUSL Championship1-0
2023-05-07Las Vegas LightsSan AntonioUSL Championship1-2
2023-04-30San AntonioLas Vegas LightsUSL Championship1-1
2022-08-14San AntonioLas Vegas LightsUSL Championship2-0
2022-07-28Las Vegas LightsSan AntonioUSL Championship0-2
2021-06-12Las Vegas LightsSan AntonioUSL Championship1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.7%, draw 27.5%, away 33.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.39 3.69 2.78
Bet365 2.35 3.30 2.55
BetVictor 2.45 3.30 2.70
Betano 2.35 3.30 2.70
Betfair 2.30 3.30 2.63
Marathonbet 2.27 3.28 2.68
Pinnacle 2.47 3.47 2.77
William Hill 2.30 3.30 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.35 ▲ +0.14
X 3.30 ▲ +0.02
2 2.69 ▼ -0.11

10 snapshots recorded, from .