San Antonio
vs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0 – 0 Full time
| 56′ | S. Cruz | ||
| 61′ | C. SortoL. Ricol | ||
| 63′ | R. CiceroneL. Perez | ||
| 63′ | Pedro BeckerL. Hilton | ||
| 63′ | S. CruzL. Wyke | ||
| 69′ | N. HernandezL. Paredes | ||
| 71′ | E. ConwayM. Micaletto | ||
| 82′ | M. MyersK. Henderlong | ||
| 82′ | C. ParanoD. Pacheco | ||
| 83′ | A. Ward |
San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
| Probability | San Antonio | Draw | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.7% | 29.9% | 44.5% |
| Market | 28.5% | 28.1% | 43.4% |
| Final | 27.8% | 28.5% | 43.7% |
| Edge | -2.8% | +1.8% | +1.0% |
Why Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Antonio and Tampa Bay Rowdies expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
San Antonio and Tampa Bay Rowdies attack and defence ratings
San Antonio
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: result vs prediction
San Antonio 0 – 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 43.7% | 2.29 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Antonio | 27.8% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 43.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.0% |
| No | 52.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 10.8% |
San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies stats
San Antonio and Tampa Bay Rowdies recent form
| San Antonio |
DLDWLL |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies |
WLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Antonio and Tampa Bay Rowdies going into this match
San Antonio record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 25 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tampa Bay Rowdies record
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-13 | San Antonio | Tampa Bay Rowdies | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-16 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | San Antonio | USL Championship | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-17 | San Antonio | Tampa Bay Rowdies | USL Championship | 3-3 |
| 2017-10-08 | San Antonio | Tampa Bay Rowdies | USL Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.5%, draw 28.1%, away 43.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.26 | 3.15 | 2.08 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.41 | 3.29 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .