USL Championship
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Sacramento Republic
vs
San Antonio
0 – 0 Full time
| 41′ | J. Hernandez | ||
| 44′ | D. Crisostomo | ||
| 46′ | L. RicolL. Paredes | ||
| 46′ | C. ParanoL. Berron | ||
| 54′ | J. HernandezD. Pacheco | ||
| 67′ | C. JenningsK. Edwards | ||
| 67′ | M. MalangoT. Wolff | ||
| 72′ | A. MidenceA. Rodriguez | ||
| 72′ | F. KleemannT. Leibold | ||
| 78′ | N. HernandezC. Sorto | ||
| 83′ | D. Pacheco |
Sacramento Republic
50%
Draw
28%
San Antonio
22%
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio
| Probability | Sacramento Republic | Draw | San Antonio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.0% | 30.1% | 16.9% |
| Market | 48.9% | 27.9% | 23.2% |
| Final | 50.0% | 28.4% | 21.6% |
| Edge | +4.1% | +2.2% | -6.3% |
Why Sacramento Republic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sacramento Republic below the model: +4.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Sacramento Republic and San Antonio expected goals
Sacramento Republic
1.39
San Antonio
0.67
Total expected goals: 2.06
Sacramento Republic and San Antonio attack and defence ratings
Sacramento Republic
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.68 -32%
San Antonio
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio: result vs prediction
Sacramento Republic 0 – 0 San Antonio
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sacramento Republic | 50.0% | 2.00 | +4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sacramento Republic | 50.0% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| San Antonio | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.9% |
| No | 62.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sacramento Republic win | 26.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.1% | |
| Loss | 47.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.5% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio stats
Sacramento Republic and San Antonio recent form
| Sacramento Republic |
WDDDWD |
| San Antonio |
LDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sacramento Republic and San Antonio going into this match
Sacramento Republic record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
San Antonio record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Sacramento Republic wins
2Draws
3San Antonio wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | San Antonio | Sacramento Republic | USL Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | San Antonio | Sacramento Republic | USL Championship | 1-3 |
| 2025-06-15 | Sacramento Republic | San Antonio | USL Championship | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | San Antonio | Sacramento Republic | USL Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-25 | Sacramento Republic | San Antonio | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-28 | Sacramento Republic | San Antonio | USL Championship | 3-1 |
| 2023-06-25 | Sacramento Republic | San Antonio | USL Championship | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-09 | San Antonio | Sacramento Republic | USL Championship | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-25 | San Antonio | Sacramento Republic | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-06-05 | Sacramento Republic | San Antonio | USL Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 27.9%, away 23.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.24 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.47 | 4.27 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.85 —
X
3.25 —
2
3.90 —
12 snapshots recorded, from .