Sacramento Republic
vs
Detroit City
1 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | J. Timmer | ||
| 46′ | B. MorrisC. Niang | ||
| 63′ | A. DiopJ. Cedeno | ||
| 63′ | K. WilliamsA. Dalou | ||
| 67′ | A. MidenceB. Willey | ||
| 67′ | C. JenningsK. Edwards | ||
| 76′ | M. MalangoT. Wolff | ||
| 82′ | N. Collins | ||
| 88′ | A. DioufR. Williams | ||
| 90′ | J. CasasA. Essel |
Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City
| Probability | Sacramento Republic | Draw | Detroit City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 35.6% | 27.0% |
| Market | 46.6% | 29.1% | 24.3% |
| Final | 44.3% | 30.7% | 25.0% |
| Edge | -9.2% | +6.5% | +2.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sacramento Republic and Detroit City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.77
Sacramento Republic and Detroit City attack and defence ratings
Sacramento Republic
Detroit City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City: result vs prediction
Sacramento Republic 1 – 0 Detroit City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sacramento Republic | 44.3% | 2.26 | -9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sacramento Republic | 44.3% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Detroit City | 25.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.4% |
| No | 64.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sacramento Republic win | 14.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 62.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.3% |
| 1-0 | 15.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City stats
Sacramento Republic and Detroit City recent form
| Sacramento Republic |
DDDWDL |
| Detroit City |
DDWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sacramento Republic and Detroit City going into this match
Sacramento Republic record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
Detroit City record
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-27 | Detroit City | Sacramento Republic | USL Championship | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Sacramento Republic | Detroit City | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-06-11 | Detroit City | Sacramento Republic | USL Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 29.1%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.12 | 3.72 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.13 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.05 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.12 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.28 | 3.96 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .