USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Detroit City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1 – 0 Full time

14′K. Hernandez-Foster
29′J. Walti
45′V. Souza
64′J. CedenoK. Williams
67′A. Diouf
69′A. DikwaY. Tsukanome
72′A. DioufA. Dalou
72′A. DiopC. Niang
73′K. Williams
75′E. GoldthorpB. Etou
82′J. WaltiS. Bassett
89′K. Hernandez-FosterM. Bryant
89′D. SmithR. Williams

Keyworth StadiumReferee: M. Thompson

Detroit City 42%
Draw 33%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Detroit City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Detroit City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDetroit CityDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
Model36.0%39.7%24.3%
Market43.4%30.4%26.2%
Final41.6%32.7%25.7%
Edge-7.4%+9.3%-1.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Detroit City ↓ / Pittsburgh Riv → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 25% 13% 1 18% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 75%
2+ goals 44%
3+ goals 18%
No goals 25%

Detroit City and Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected goals

Detroit City 0.82
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0.62

Total expected goals: 1.45

Detroit City and Pittsburgh Riverhounds attack and defence ratings

Detroit City

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Detroit City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: result vs prediction

Detroit City 1 – 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Detroit City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Detroit City 41.6% 2.41 -7.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82.2% 1.22 — —
Both teams to score No 72.8% 1.37 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.0% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Detroit City41.6%
Draw32.7%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds25.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.517.8%
Under 2.582.2%
Both teams to scoreYes27.2%
No72.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.3%
12 (either side)67.3%
X2 (draw or away)58.4%
Handicap -1Detroit City win12.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss64.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-024.8%
1-018.1%
0-113.5%

Detroit City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds stats

Detroit City and Pittsburgh Riverhounds recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Detroit City and Pittsburgh Riverhounds going into this match

league record before kick-off

Detroit City record

  • They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds record

  • They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Detroit City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Detroit City wins 4Draws 4Pittsburgh Riverhounds wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDetroit CityUSL Championship2-1
2025-11-09Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDetroit CityUSL Championship0-0
2025-07-18Detroit CityPittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship0-0
2025-06-07Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDetroit CityUSL Championship2-0
2025-04-26Detroit CityPittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL League One Cup1-0
2024-08-07Detroit CityPittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship0-0
2024-04-27Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDetroit CityUSL Championship2-0
2023-10-21Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDetroit CityUSL Championship0-1
2023-10-14Detroit CityPittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship0-0
2023-07-15Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDetroit CityUSL Championship2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Detroit City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 30.2%, away 25.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.04 2.99 3.56
Bet365 2.10 3.00 3.40
BetVictor 2.10 3.00 3.60
Betano 2.07 3.00 3.50
Betfair 2.00 3.00 3.60
Marathonbet 2.04 2.94 3.48
Pinnacle 2.17 3.06 3.74
William Hill 2.05 2.90 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▼ -0.18
X 3.00 ▼ -0.24
2 3.48 ▲ +0.66

12 snapshots recorded, from .