USL Championship
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
vs
Loudoun United
1 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | S. Bassett | ||
| 46′ | B. AkinyodeG. Lomtadze | ||
| 49′ | S. Young | ||
| 59′ | R. AmanC. Torres | ||
| 67′ | T. AmannA. Dikwa | ||
| 77′ | C. AhlY. Tsukanome | ||
| 77′ | E. GoldthorpB. Etou | ||
| 77′ | S. YoungR. Zouhir | ||
| 77′ | P. NiyongabireMarcos Dias | ||
| 86′ | A. WattsL. Butts | ||
| 87′ | V. Souza | ||
| 90′ | A. Aboukoura |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
55%
Draw
26%
Loudoun United
20%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
| Probability | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Draw | Loudoun United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.8% | 27.0% | 17.2% |
| Market | 54.4% | 25.3% | 20.3% |
| Final | 54.8% | 25.7% | 19.5% |
| Edge | +1.3% | +1.7% | -3.1% |
Why Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Loudoun United expected goals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.62
Loudoun United
0.80
Total expected goals: 2.43
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Loudoun United attack and defence ratings
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Loudoun United
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United: result vs prediction
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1 – 0 Loudoun United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 54.8% | 1.83 | +1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 54.8% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Loudoun United | 19.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.4% |
| No | 54.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.2% |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | |
| 2-0 | 11.7% |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United stats
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Loudoun United recent form
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
DDLWWD |
| Loudoun United |
LLDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Loudoun United going into this match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Loudoun United record
- They have won 3 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds wins
2Draws
2Loudoun United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Loudoun United | USL League One Cup | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Loudoun United | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 2-3 |
| 2026-02-13 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Loudoun United | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Loudoun United | USL Championship | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-19 | Loudoun United | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-25 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Loudoun United | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Loudoun United | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 0-2 |
| 2024-07-27 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Loudoun United | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Loudoun United | USL Championship | 3-1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Loudoun United | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.2%, draw 25.2%, away 20.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.55 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.60 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.83 | 4.66 |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 3.45 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.67 ▼ -0.04
X
3.60 ▼ -0.19
2
4.47 ▲ +0.08
14 snapshots recorded, from .