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USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic

1 – 1 Full time

32′S. AnakuB. Coffey
38′M. Adedokun
46′A. OrdonezB. Fischer
46′T. PresthusS. Canada
49′B. Burke
59′B. MorrisC. Egbuchulam
60′J. CedenoA. Dalou
62′Hartford AthleticA. Williams
75′A. DiopR. Williams
77′D. Amoo-Mensah
90′K. Williams
90′M. RodriguezM. Bryant
90′M. Rodriguez
90′A. Williams

Keyworth StadiumReferee: E. Osmanovic

Detroit City 48%
Draw 29%
Hartford Athletic 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDetroit CityDrawHartford Athletic
Model46.2%34.1%19.7%
Market48.9%27.9%23.2%
Final48.2%29.4%22.3%
Edge-2.8%+6.2%-3.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Detroit City

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.65.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Detroit City ↓ / Hartford Athle → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 10% 1 18% 14% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Detroit City and Hartford Athletic expected goals

Detroit City 1.14
Hartford Athletic 0.65

Total expected goals: 1.78

Detroit City and Hartford Athletic attack and defence ratings

Detroit City

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Hartford Athletic

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic: result vs prediction

Detroit City 1 – 1 Hartford Athletic

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Detroit City 48.2% 2.07 -2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 73.5% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score No 66.4% 1.51 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.7% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.8% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Detroit City48.2%
Draw29.4%
Hartford Athletic22.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526.5%
Under 2.573.5%
Both teams to scoreYes33.6%
No66.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.7%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)51.8%
Handicap -1Detroit City win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)25.8%
Loss53.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.0%
1-017.8%
1-113.6%

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic stats

Detroit City and Hartford Athletic recent form

newest first
Detroit City DWDWDL
Hartford Athletic WWWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Detroit City and Hartford Athletic going into this match

league record before kick-off

Detroit City record

  • They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Hartford Athletic record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 21 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Detroit City wins 4Draws 3Hartford Athletic wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09Hartford AthleticDetroit CityUSL Championship2-1
2025-07-12Detroit CityHartford AthleticUSL Championship1-2
2025-06-28Hartford AthleticDetroit CityUSL League One Cup2-2
2025-05-10Hartford AthleticDetroit CityUSL Championship0-0
2024-08-31Detroit CityHartford AthleticUSL Championship1-1
2024-07-31Hartford AthleticDetroit CityUSL Championship1-0
2023-09-23Detroit CityHartford AthleticUSL Championship3-0
2023-06-14Hartford AthleticDetroit CityUSL Championship1-3
2022-07-06Detroit CityHartford AthleticUSL Championship1-1
2022-04-23Hartford AthleticDetroit CityUSL Championship1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 27.5%, away 22.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.85 3.25 3.98
Bet365 1.85 3.25 3.70
BetVictor 1.90 3.30 3.90
Betano 1.80 3.35 4.00
Betfair 1.75 3.50 4.10
Dafabet 1.81 3.55 4.30
Marathonbet 1.83 3.25 3.90
Pinnacle 1.93 3.45 4.13
Unibet 1.68 3.50 4.25
William Hill 1.85 3.10 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.15
X 3.25 ▼ -0.25
2 3.90 ▼ -0.48

10 snapshots recorded, from .