Louisville City
vs
Detroit City
0 – 0 Full time
Louisville City vs Detroit City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Louisville City vs Detroit City
| Probability | Louisville City | Draw | Detroit City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.7% | 27.1% | 43.2% |
| Market | 52.3% | 25.4% | 22.3% |
| Final | 46.6% | 25.8% | 27.5% |
| Edge | -22.6% | +1.7% | +20.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Louisville City and Detroit City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Louisville City and Detroit City attack and defence ratings
Louisville City
Detroit City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Louisville City vs Detroit City: result vs prediction
Louisville City 0 – 0 Detroit City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Louisville City vs Detroit City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Louisville City | 46.6% | 2.14 | -22.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Louisville City | 46.6% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Detroit City | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Louisville City win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 70.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 8.0% |
Louisville City vs Detroit City stats
Louisville City and Detroit City recent form
| Louisville City |
LWDLWL |
| Detroit City |
WDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Louisville City and Detroit City going into this match
Louisville City record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Detroit City record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Louisville City vs Detroit City head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Detroit City | Louisville City | USL Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Louisville City | Detroit City | USL Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Detroit City | Louisville City | USL Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Louisville City | Detroit City | USL Championship | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Louisville City vs Detroit City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.3%, draw 25.4%, away 22.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.55 | 4.17 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.55 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 3.76 | 4.28 |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 3.35 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .