Detroit City
vs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1 – 0 Full time
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
| Probability | Detroit City | Draw | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 28.0% | 34.7% |
| Market | 30.1% | 31.1% | 38.8% |
| Final | 31.9% | 30.3% | 37.7% |
| Edge | +7.2% | -3.2% | -4.1% |
Why Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Detroit City and Tampa Bay Rowdies expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Detroit City and Tampa Bay Rowdies attack and defence ratings
Detroit City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: result vs prediction
Detroit City 1 – 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 37.7% | 2.65 | -4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Detroit City | 31.9% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies win | 16.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 65.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies stats
Detroit City and Tampa Bay Rowdies recent form
| Detroit City |
DWDLWW |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies |
WWWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Detroit City and Tampa Bay Rowdies going into this match
Detroit City record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Tampa Bay Rowdies record
- They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Detroit City | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Detroit City | Tampa Bay Rowdies | USL Championship | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.2%, draw 31.2%, away 38.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.95 | 2.90 | 2.40 |
| 1xBet | 3.28 | 2.74 | 2.33 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.13 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 2.85 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 2.74 | 2.31 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50 | 2.84 | 2.43 |
| Superbet | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.37 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 2.95 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .