Pittsburgh Riverhounds
vs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0 – 0 Full time
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
| Probability | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Draw | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 31.6% | 32.5% |
| Market | 28.7% | 31.6% | 39.7% |
| Final | 30.5% | 31.6% | 37.9% |
| Edge | +7.1% | +0.0% | -7.1% |
Why Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Tampa Bay Rowdies expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Tampa Bay Rowdies attack and defence ratings
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: result vs prediction
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 – 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 37.9% | 2.64 | -7.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30.5% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 37.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.2% |
| No | 53.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies win | 13.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 67.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.2% | |
| 1-0 | 11.1% |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies stats
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Tampa Bay Rowdies recent form
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
LWWDWL |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies |
LWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Tampa Bay Rowdies going into this match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tampa Bay Rowdies record
- They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-21 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Tampa Bay Rowdies | USL Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 31.6%, away 39.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 2.77 | 2.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 2.85 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 3.22 | 2.77 | 2.28 |
| Pinnacle | 3.48 | 2.74 | 2.42 |
| Superbet | 3.20 | 2.87 | 2.32 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.10 | 2.12 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .