Tampa Bay Rowdies
vs
Brooklyn
2 – 0 Full time
| 24′ | L. Perez | ||
| 40′ | L. Perez | ||
| 45′ | E. Bartlow | ||
| 47′ | J. Servania | ||
| 55′ | M. Pinto | ||
| 60′ | L. PerezPedro Becker | ||
| 63′ | M. PintoC. Frogson | ||
| 63′ | J. ObregonT. McNamara | ||
| 70′ | D. AcoffL. Wyke | ||
| 71′ | M. MicalettoE. Conway | ||
| 78′ | J. ServaniaJ. Klein | ||
| 78′ | R. McLaughlinP. Da Silva | ||
| 82′ | S. StojanovicS. Nishikawa | ||
| 88′ | L. HiltonG. Nigro | ||
| 88′ | M. MyersK. Henderlong | ||
| 90′ | E. Conway |
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn
| Probability | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Draw | Brooklyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.2% | 20.5% | 14.3% |
| Market | 70.2% | 17.9% | 12.0% |
| Final | 68.9% | 18.5% | 12.6% |
| Edge | -4.9% | +2.6% | +2.4% |
Why Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn attack and defence ratings
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Brooklyn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn: result vs prediction
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 – 0 Brooklyn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 68.9% | 1.45 | -4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies win | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 68.9% |
| Draw | 18.5% | |
| Brooklyn | 12.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies win | 43.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 34.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-1 | 9.5% |
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn stats
Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn recent form
| DLWWWW | |
| WLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn going into this match
Tampa Bay Rowdies record
- They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brooklyn record
- They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Brooklyn | Tampa Bay Rowdies | USL Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.2%, draw 17.9%, away 12.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 5.10 | 7.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.33 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.31 | 5.40 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.10 | 7.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 5.74 | 7.90 |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .