USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn

2 – 0 Full time

24′L. Perez
40′L. Perez
45′E. Bartlow
47′J. Servania
55′M. Pinto
60′L. PerezPedro Becker
63′M. PintoC. Frogson
63′J. ObregonT. McNamara
70′D. AcoffL. Wyke
71′M. MicalettoE. Conway
78′J. ServaniaJ. Klein
78′R. McLaughlinP. Da Silva
82′S. StojanovicS. Nishikawa
88′L. HiltonG. Nigro
88′M. MyersK. Henderlong
90′E. Conway

Al Lang StadiumReferee: J. Scheer

Tampa Bay Rowdies 69%
Draw 19%
Brooklyn 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTampa Bay RowdiesDrawBrooklyn
Model65.2%20.5%14.3%
Market70.2%17.9%12.0%
Final68.9%18.5%12.6%
Edge-4.9%+2.6%+2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Tampa Bay Rowdies

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tampa Bay Rowd ↓ / Brooklyn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 10% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 7% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn expected goals

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.27
Brooklyn 0.99

Total expected goals: 3.26

Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn attack and defence ratings

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Brooklyn

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn: result vs prediction

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 – 0 Brooklyn

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tampa Bay Rowdies 68.9% 1.45 -4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.4% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.4% 1.74 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.4% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Tampa Bay Rowdies win 43.1% 2.32 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tampa Bay Rowdies68.9%
Draw18.5%
Brooklyn12.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.4%
Under 2.536.6%
Both teams to scoreYes57.4%
No42.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.4%
12 (either side)81.5%
X2 (draw or away)31.1%
Handicap -1Tampa Bay Rowdies win43.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss34.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-09.8%
2-19.8%
1-19.5%

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn stats

Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn recent form

newest first
Tampa Bay Rowdies DLWWWW
Brooklyn WLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tampa Bay Rowdies record

  • They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brooklyn record

  • They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Tampa Bay Rowdies wins 0Draws 0Brooklyn wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-20BrooklynTampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.2%, draw 17.9%, away 12.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.29 5.10 7.75
Bet365 1.33 4.75 7.00
BetVictor 1.30 5.25 8.00
Betano 1.33 4.90 7.00
Betfair 1.25 5.50 8.50
Dafabet 1.31 5.40 8.00
Marathonbet 1.28 5.10 7.50
Pinnacle 1.32 5.74 7.90
Unibet 1.30 4.80 7.50
William Hill 1.30 5.00 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.30 —
X 5.10 —
2 7.62 ▼ -0.08

10 snapshots recorded, from .