USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Brooklyn vs Miami FC

1 – 1 Full time

16′C. D. Milanes Navarro
21′M. Tunbridge
54′R. Tori
62′P. MangioneA. Fontana
62′R. ToriM. Romero
71′A. Rocha
72′M. TunbridgeG. Diaz
72′J. ObregonA. Kante
72′T. McNamaraS. Stojanovic
74′D. Knutson
77′J. SonoraA. Calfo
78′A. RogersB. Ndiaye
81′B. Ndiaye
86′E. Room
88′G. Maddoni
89′M. PintoC. Frogson
90′A. Kante

Maimonides ParkReferee: D. Kulasinac

Brooklyn 47%
Draw 25%
Miami FC 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Brooklyn vs Miami FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Brooklyn vs Miami FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBrooklynDrawMiami FC
Model49.4%24.3%26.3%
Market46.0%25.3%28.7%
Final46.9%25.1%28.1%
Edge+3.4%-1.0%-2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Brooklyn

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.35.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Brooklyn below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Brooklyn ↓ / Miami FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Brooklyn and Miami FC expected goals

Brooklyn 1.90
Miami FC 1.35

Total expected goals: 3.25

Brooklyn and Miami FC attack and defence ratings

Brooklyn

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Miami FC

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.45 +45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Brooklyn vs Miami FC: result vs prediction

Brooklyn 1 – 1 Miami FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Brooklyn vs Miami FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brooklyn 46.9% 2.13 +3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.0% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.0% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.6% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Brooklyn46.9%
Draw25.1%
Miami FC28.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.0%
Under 2.537.0%
Both teams to scoreYes64.0%
No36.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.9%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)53.1%
Handicap -1Brooklyn win28.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss50.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-19.4%
2-07.0%

Brooklyn vs Miami FC stats

Brooklyn and Miami FC recent form

newest first
Brooklyn LWLLLL
Miami FC DLLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Brooklyn and Miami FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Brooklyn record

  • They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 21 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Miami FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 23 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brooklyn vs Miami FC head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Brooklyn wins 0Draws 1Miami FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Miami FCBrooklynUSL Championship3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Brooklyn vs Miami FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 25.4%, away 28.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.96 3.60 3.22
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.20
BetVictor 2.00 3.60 3.25
Betano 2.02 3.50 3.15
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.10
Dafabet 1.99 3.65 3.30
Marathonbet 1.94 3.60 3.16
Pinnacle 2.04 3.82 3.28
Unibet 1.85 3.55 3.40
William Hill 2.00 3.40 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.98 ▼ -0.06
X 3.60 ▼ -0.08
2 3.18 ▼ -0.05

14 snapshots recorded, from .