USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn

4 – 0 Full time

18′J. Blake
21′S. Stojanovic
33′B. Rendon
40′J. Blake
46′T. OkiyoshiP. Mangione
46′P. Da SilvaC. Olney JR
46′S. StojanovicJ. Servania
48′E. Kizza
60′E. KizzaM. Henry-Scott
60′B. RendonC. Sharp
63′A. FontanaA. Kante
67′J. HaffertyM. Rasheed
74′A. QuinnM. Omar
74′J. BlakeL. Mesanvi
75′C. Sharp
79′M. PintoC. Frogson

Michael A. Carroll StadiumReferee: A. Billeter

Indy Eleven 56%
Draw 23%
Brooklyn 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIndy ElevenDrawBrooklyn
Model53.2%25.3%21.5%
Market57.0%22.1%20.9%
Final56.1%22.9%21.1%
Edge-3.8%+3.3%+0.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Indy Eleven

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.08.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Indy Eleven ↓ / Brooklyn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Indy Eleven and Brooklyn expected goals

Indy Eleven 1.80
Brooklyn 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.88

Indy Eleven and Brooklyn attack and defence ratings

Indy Eleven

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Brooklyn

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn: result vs prediction

Indy Eleven 4 – 0 Brooklyn

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Indy Eleven 56.1% 1.78 -3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.8% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.9% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.8% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Indy Eleven56.1%
Draw22.9%
Brooklyn21.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.8%
Under 2.545.2%
Both teams to scoreYes56.1%
No43.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.9%
12 (either side)77.1%
X2 (draw or away)43.9%
Handicap -1Indy Eleven win30.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss46.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
2-19.8%
2-09.1%

Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn stats

Indy Eleven and Brooklyn recent form

newest first
Indy Eleven DDLWWD
Brooklyn DLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Indy Eleven and Brooklyn going into this match

league record before kick-off

Indy Eleven record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brooklyn record

  • They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Indy Eleven wins 0Draws 1Brooklyn wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08BrooklynIndy ElevenUSL Championship1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 22.1%, away 20.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.59 4.15 4.23
Bet365 1.57 3.80 4.50
BetVictor 1.62 4.20 4.40
Betano 1.62 3.90 4.35
Betfair 1.57 4.20 4.40
Marathonbet 1.57 4.15 4.15
Pinnacle 1.64 4.56 4.44
William Hill 1.62 4.00 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.60 ▼ -0.12
X 4.15 ▲ +0.21
2 4.38 ▲ +0.61

5 snapshots recorded, from .