Indy Eleven
vs
Oakland Roots
0 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | F. ValotT. Gibson | ||
| 42′ | D. Garcia | ||
| 54′ | C. LindleyM. Omar | ||
| 55′ | E. KizzaL. Mesanvi | ||
| 59′ | P. Wilson | ||
| 62′ | J. O'BrienM. Henry-Scott | ||
| 62′ | A. QuinnD. Sing | ||
| 67′ | N. Kibunguchy | ||
| 76′ | Bruno LapaD. Trejo | ||
| 76′ | J. de VicenteJ. Bravo | ||
| 84′ | A. MitranoM. Rasheed | ||
| 90′ | K. McIntosh | ||
| 90′ | B. JacquessonT. Lepley | ||
| 90′ | W. PrenticeK. Tingey |
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots
| Probability | Indy Eleven | Draw | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.5% | 23.6% | 13.9% |
| Market | 48.1% | 25.4% | 26.5% |
| Final | 51.7% | 24.9% | 23.4% |
| Edge | +14.5% | -1.8% | -12.6% |
Why Indy Eleven
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Indy Eleven below the model: +14.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Indy Eleven and Oakland Roots expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Indy Eleven and Oakland Roots attack and defence ratings
Indy Eleven
Oakland Roots
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots: result vs prediction
Indy Eleven 0 – 1 Oakland Roots
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Indy Eleven | 51.7% | 1.93 | +14.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Indy Eleven win | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Indy Eleven | 51.7% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Oakland Roots | 23.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Indy Eleven win | 38.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 37.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 1-1 | 11.2% |
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots stats
Indy Eleven and Oakland Roots recent form
| Indy Eleven |
WDDLWW |
| Oakland Roots |
LDWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Indy Eleven and Oakland Roots going into this match
Indy Eleven record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oakland Roots record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-10 | Oakland Roots | Indy Eleven | USL Championship | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Indy Eleven | Oakland Roots | USL Championship | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.1%, draw 25.4%, away 26.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.60 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.55 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.60 | 3.36 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.95 | 3.54 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .