Oakland Roots
vs
Lexington
1 – 4 Full time
| 11′ | T. McCabe | ||
| 22′ | P. Goodrum | ||
| 46′ | J. BravoB. Byaruhanga | ||
| 52′ | P. Wilson | ||
| 58′ | M. FryNick Firmino | ||
| 58′ | M. FisherT. Gibson | ||
| 60′ | T. Gibson | ||
| 67′ | N. OkelloB. P. Rodrigues | ||
| 78′ | P. Goodrum | ||
| 83′ | M. Epps | ||
| 84′ | B. FerriT. Scott | ||
| 85′ | W. PrenticeD. Trejo | ||
| 85′ | F. ValotBruno Lapa | ||
| 86′ | B. JacquessonE. Lopez | ||
| 87′ | P. Goodrum |
Oakland Roots vs Lexington overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oakland Roots vs Lexington
| Probability | Oakland Roots | Draw | Lexington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.4% | 31.7% | 37.0% |
| Market | 40.6% | 27.4% | 32.0% |
| Final | 38.3% | 28.5% | 33.3% |
| Edge | -9.2% | +4.3% | +5.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oakland Roots and Lexington expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Oakland Roots and Lexington attack and defence ratings
Oakland Roots
Lexington
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oakland Roots vs Lexington: result vs prediction
Oakland Roots 1 – 4 Lexington
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Oakland Roots vs Lexington markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oakland Roots | 38.3% | 2.61 | -9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oakland Roots | 38.3% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Lexington | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.0% |
| No | 54.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oakland Roots win | 12.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 68.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-1 | 11.4% |
Oakland Roots vs Lexington stats
Oakland Roots and Lexington recent form
| Oakland Roots |
DWDLDL |
| Lexington |
LLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oakland Roots and Lexington going into this match
Oakland Roots record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lexington record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oakland Roots vs Lexington head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Lexington | Oakland Roots | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Oakland Roots | Lexington | USL Championship | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Lexington | Oakland Roots | USL Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oakland Roots vs Lexington odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 27.4%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.32 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.35 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.35 | 3.35 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.32 | 2.81 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.56 | 2.95 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .