Oakland Roots
vs
Orange County SC
1 – 1 Full time
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC
| Probability | Oakland Roots | Draw | Orange County SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 27.1% | 31.2% |
| Market | 46.5% | 26.7% | 26.8% |
| Final | 45.3% | 26.8% | 27.9% |
| Edge | -4.8% | +0.4% | +4.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oakland Roots and Orange County SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
Oakland Roots and Orange County SC attack and defence ratings
Oakland Roots
Orange County SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC: result vs prediction
Oakland Roots 1 – 1 Orange County SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oakland Roots | 45.3% | 2.21 | -4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oakland Roots | 45.3% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Orange County SC | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oakland Roots win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 7.7% |
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC stats
Oakland Roots and Orange County SC recent form
| Oakland Roots |
WDLDLL |
| Orange County SC |
LLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oakland Roots and Orange County SC going into this match
Oakland Roots record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orange County SC record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Orange County SC | Oakland Roots | USL Championship | 3-2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Oakland Roots | Orange County SC | USL Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Oakland Roots | Orange County SC | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Orange County SC | Oakland Roots | USL Championship | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 26.7%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.40 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.40 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.54 | 3.49 |
| Unibet | 1.90 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .