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USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising

3 – 0 Full time

7′Bruno Lapa
22′D. Trejo
30′D. Flores
46′D. FloresD. Badji
64′C. SmithK. Arase
67′Bruno LapaT. McCabe
71′B. Jacquesson
77′A. EssengueA. Pelayo
77′J. TorresD. Rivera
82′B. JacquessonT. Lepley
82′D. GomezC. Ambursley
90′D. TrejoE. Lopez
90′W. PrenticeG. Stone
90′T. GibsonK. Tingey
90′T. Schmitt

Laney College Football StadiumReferee: E. Carvajal

Oakland Roots 37%
Draw 28%
Phoenix Rising 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOakland RootsDrawPhoenix Rising
Model33.0%30.1%36.9%
Market38.7%27.1%34.2%
Final37.3%27.9%34.9%
Edge-5.7%+3.0%+2.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Oakland Roots ↓ / Phoenix Rising → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Oakland Roots and Phoenix Rising expected goals

Oakland Roots 1.17
Phoenix Rising 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.42

Oakland Roots and Phoenix Rising attack and defence ratings

Oakland Roots

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Phoenix Rising

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising: result vs prediction

Oakland Roots 3 – 0 Phoenix Rising

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Oakland Roots 37.3% 2.68 -5.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.4% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.1% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Oakland Roots37.3%
Draw27.9%
Phoenix Rising34.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.6%
Under 2.556.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.1%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)62.7%
Handicap -1Oakland Roots win14.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss67.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
0-19.8%

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising stats

Oakland Roots and Phoenix Rising recent form

newest first
Oakland Roots WLDWDL
Phoenix Rising LWDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Oakland Roots and Phoenix Rising going into this match

league record before kick-off

Oakland Roots record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Phoenix Rising record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Oakland Roots wins 5Draws 3Phoenix Rising wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-21Phoenix RisingOakland RootsUSL Championship3-4
2026-03-22Phoenix RisingOakland RootsUSL Championship2-2
2025-09-28Phoenix RisingOakland RootsUSL Championship3-3
2025-07-13Oakland RootsPhoenix RisingUSL Championship1-2
2024-10-13Oakland RootsPhoenix RisingUSL Championship0-1
2024-03-24Phoenix RisingOakland RootsUSL Championship1-0
2023-06-25Oakland RootsPhoenix RisingUSL Championship1-1
2023-06-11Phoenix RisingOakland RootsUSL Championship2-2
2022-09-11Phoenix RisingOakland RootsUSL Championship0-2
2022-07-28Oakland RootsPhoenix RisingUSL Championship0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.7%, draw 27.1%, away 34.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.33 3.26 2.61
Bet365 2.30 3.30 2.60
BetVictor 2.38 3.40 2.70
Betano 2.35 3.35 2.65
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.63
Marathonbet 2.33 3.26 2.61
Pinnacle 2.47 3.48 2.76
William Hill 2.30 3.10 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▲ +0.19
X 3.33 ▼ -0.02
2 2.64 ▼ -0.26

10 snapshots recorded, from .