New Mexico United
vs
Indy Eleven
2 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | L. Archimede | ||
| 18′ | G. Hurst | ||
| 45′ | J. Hafferty | ||
| 45′ | J. Melto Quiah | ||
| 46′ | J. Melto QuiahD. Harris | ||
| 50′ | M. Henry-Scott | ||
| 59′ | J. Blake | ||
| 67′ | T. BlackettJ. LaCava | ||
| 67′ | L. ArchimedeC. Dennis | ||
| 67′ | G. ZelalemC. Wilkerson | ||
| 73′ | M. Henry-ScottB. Rendon | ||
| 73′ | L. MesanviC. Sharp | ||
| 86′ | D. HarrisC. Nava | ||
| 88′ | O. Jabang | ||
| 90′ | K. Keller |
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven overview
Garuda Lions analysis: New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven
| Probability | New Mexico United | Draw | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.5% | 25.2% | 14.3% |
| Market | 42.3% | 25.6% | 32.1% |
| Final | 46.8% | 25.5% | 27.6% |
| Edge | +18.2% | -0.4% | -17.7% |
Why New Mexico United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices New Mexico United below the model: +18.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
New Mexico United and Indy Eleven expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
New Mexico United and Indy Eleven attack and defence ratings
New Mexico United
Indy Eleven
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven: result vs prediction
New Mexico United 2 – 2 Indy Eleven
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New Mexico United | 46.8% | 2.13 | +18.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New Mexico United | 46.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Indy Eleven | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | New Mexico United win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 39.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.4% |
| 2-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven stats
New Mexico United and Indy Eleven recent form
| New Mexico United |
WLWDWW |
| Indy Eleven |
DLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
New Mexico United and Indy Eleven going into this match
New Mexico United record
- They have won 12 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Indy Eleven record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-11 | Indy Eleven | New Mexico United | USL Championship | 1-3 |
| 2023-09-16 | New Mexico United | Indy Eleven | USL Championship | 3-2 |
| 2022-05-28 | Indy Eleven | New Mexico United | USL Championship | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 25.3%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.55 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.70 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.50 | 2.81 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.80 | 2.95 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.60 | 2.82 |
| Unibet | 2.25 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .