Brooklyn
vs
Sporting JAX
4 – 1 Full time
Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX
| Probability | Brooklyn | Draw | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.0% | 23.4% | 30.6% |
| Market | 53.7% | 23.3% | 23.0% |
| Final | 51.7% | 23.3% | 24.9% |
| Edge | -7.7% | +0.1% | +7.6% |
Why Brooklyn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.60.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brooklyn and Sporting JAX expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.58
Brooklyn and Sporting JAX attack and defence ratings
Brooklyn
Sporting JAX
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX: result vs prediction
Brooklyn 4 – 1 Sporting JAX
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brooklyn | 51.7% | 1.93 | -7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brooklyn | 51.7% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Sporting JAX | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% |
| No | 30.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brooklyn win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX stats
Brooklyn and Sporting JAX recent form
| Brooklyn |
LLLLDW |
| Sporting JAX |
WLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brooklyn and Sporting JAX going into this match
Brooklyn record
- They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting JAX record
- They have won 2 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Sporting JAX | Brooklyn | USL Championship | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sporting JAX | Brooklyn | USL Championship | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.7%, draw 23.3%, away 23.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.90 | 4.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.85 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.95 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 4.15 | 4.17 |
| Superbet | 1.73 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.75 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .