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USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic

1 – 2 Full time

18′N. Messer
20′B. Makangila
20′E. Ycaza
29′K. Pakhomov
57′B. FischerT. Presthus
60′N. Messer
60′N. Messer
61′A. CabreraN. Houssou
71′E. SamadiaB. Njie
71′B. MakangilaM. Adedokun
71′A. WilliamsS. Anaku
75′M. Ngalina
78′D. MartinezL. Kissiedou
78′M. FosterL. Blackstock
81′J. Scarlett
86′M. BerryA. Hughes
86′J. KellyC. Swan
86′M. NgalinaM. Real
90′B. Njie
90′B. Coffey

Patriots Point Soccer ComplexReferee: E. Lezama

Charleston Battery 61%
Draw 23%
Hartford Athletic 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCharleston BatteryDrawHartford Athletic
Model70.8%19.4%9.8%
Market57.3%23.6%19.1%
Final60.7%22.5%16.8%
Edge+13.5%-4.2%-9.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Charleston Battery

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Charleston Battery below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Charleston Bat ↓ / Hartford Athle → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 9% 2 13% 9% 3 10% 7% 4+ 9% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Charleston Battery and Hartford Athletic expected goals

Charleston Battery 2.23
Hartford Athletic 0.73

Total expected goals: 2.96

Charleston Battery and Hartford Athletic attack and defence ratings

Charleston Battery

Attack 1.67 +67%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Hartford Athletic

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic: result vs prediction

Charleston Battery 1 – 2 Hartford Athletic

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Charleston Battery 60.7% 1.65 +13.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.8% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score No 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.2% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Charleston Battery win 47.8% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Charleston Battery60.7%
Draw22.5%
Hartford Athletic16.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.8%
Under 2.543.2%
Both teams to scoreYes47.0%
No53.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.2%
12 (either side)77.5%
X2 (draw or away)39.3%
Handicap -1Charleston Battery win47.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss29.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.9%
1-010.7%
3-09.6%

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic stats

Charleston Battery and Hartford Athletic recent form

newest first
Charleston Battery WWLWWL
Hartford Athletic WWDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Charleston Battery and Hartford Athletic going into this match

league record before kick-off

Charleston Battery record

  • They have won 12 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hartford Athletic record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 21 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Charleston Battery wins 1Draws 2Hartford Athletic wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-06-14Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship1-2
2025-05-03Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship4-2
2024-07-12Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship2-2
2024-05-04Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship1-0
2023-06-17Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship3-4
2023-04-08Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship3-2
2022-10-01Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship6-3
2022-07-17Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship3-1
2021-10-26Hartford AthleticCharleston BatteryUSL Championship2-0
2021-10-10Charleston BatteryHartford AthleticUSL Championship4-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.3%, draw 23.6%, away 19.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.57 3.95 4.75
1xBet 1.59 3.75 4.92
Bet365 1.57 3.80 5.00
BetVictor 1.62 3.90 4.75
Betano 1.62 3.60 4.85
Betfair 1.55 4.00 4.75
Dafabet 1.63 4.10 4.80
Marathonbet 1.57 3.75 4.85
Pinnacle 1.62 4.01 5.35
Superbet 1.62 3.90 4.55
Unibet 1.47 4.00 5.40
William Hill 1.62 3.60 4.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.60 ▲ +0.11
X 3.90 ▼ -0.10
2 4.82 ▼ -0.68

6 snapshots recorded, from .