USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery

0 – 2 Full time

Cashman FieldReferee: B. Stevis

Las Vegas Lights 29%
Draw 26%
Charleston Battery 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLas Vegas LightsDrawCharleston Battery
Model25.8%26.2%48.0%
Market29.6%26.4%44.0%
Final28.6%26.4%45.0%
Edge-3.8%-0.2%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Charleston Battery

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.20.
  • The market prices Charleston Battery below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Las Vegas Ligh ↓ / Charleston Bat → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 8% 1 12% 10% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Las Vegas Lights and Charleston Battery expected goals

Las Vegas Lights 1.20
Charleston Battery 1.70

Total expected goals: 2.89

Las Vegas Lights and Charleston Battery attack and defence ratings

Las Vegas Lights

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Charleston Battery

Attack 1.67 +67%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery: result vs prediction

Las Vegas Lights 0 – 2 Charleston Battery

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Charleston Battery 45.0% 2.22 +4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.2% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.1% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Las Vegas Lights28.6%
Draw26.4%
Charleston Battery45.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.2%
Under 2.544.8%
Both teams to scoreYes58.1%
No41.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.0%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)71.4%
Handicap -1Charleston Battery win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss52.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
1-29.5%
0-18.3%

Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery stats

Las Vegas Lights and Charleston Battery recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Las Vegas Lights and Charleston Battery going into this match

league record before kick-off

Las Vegas Lights record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Charleston Battery record

  • They have won 12 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston Battery odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.6%, draw 26.4%, away 44.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.08 3.40 2.08
Bet365 3.00 3.50 2.05
Betano 3.00 3.45 2.10
Betfair 3.10 3.50 2.00
Dafabet 3.20 3.50 2.07
Marathonbet 3.02 3.40 2.06
Pinnacle 3.08 3.66 2.13
Unibet 3.25 3.45 1.93
William Hill 3.00 3.30 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.08 ▼ -0.02
X 3.45 ▼ -0.03
2 2.07 ▲ +0.02

8 snapshots recorded, from .