USL Championship
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Charleston Battery
vs
Miami FC
5 – 0 Full time
Charleston Battery
67%
Draw
19%
Miami FC
14%
Charleston Battery vs Miami FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charleston Battery vs Miami FC
| Probability | Charleston Battery | Draw | Miami FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.1% | 17.0% | 11.9% |
| Market | 65.8% | 19.8% | 14.4% |
| Final | 67.1% | 19.1% | 13.7% |
| Edge | +5.3% | -2.8% | -2.5% |
Why Charleston Battery
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Charleston Battery below the model: +5.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
Charleston Battery and Miami FC expected goals
Charleston Battery
2.69
Miami FC
1.06
Total expected goals: 3.75
Charleston Battery and Miami FC attack and defence ratings
Charleston Battery
Attack
1.45 +45%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Miami FC
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Charleston Battery vs Miami FC: result vs prediction
Charleston Battery 5 – 0 Miami FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Charleston Battery vs Miami FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 67.1% | 1.49 | +5.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 67.1% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Miami FC | 13.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 51.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 28.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.0% |
| 2-0 | 8.5% | |
| 3-1 | 8.1% |
Charleston Battery vs Miami FC stats
Charleston Battery and Miami FC recent form
| Charleston Battery |
LWWLDL |
| Miami FC |
LLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charleston Battery and Miami FC going into this match
Charleston Battery record
- They have won 12 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Miami FC record
- They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 22 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charleston Battery vs Miami FC head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
3Charleston Battery wins
1Draws
5Miami FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-19 | Charleston Battery | Miami FC | USL Championship | 3-0 |
| 2025-06-18 | Miami FC | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-19 | Charleston Battery | Miami FC | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Miami FC | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Charleston Battery | Miami FC | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2023-07-15 | Miami FC | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-13 | Miami FC | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-21 | Charleston Battery | Miami FC | USL Championship | 0-4 |
| 2021-10-31 | Charleston Battery | Miami FC | USL Championship | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Charleston Battery vs Miami FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.4%, draw 19.9%, away 14.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.32 | 5.00 | 7.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 5.00 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.10 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.44 | 4.70 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.32 | 7.22 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 3.97 | 5.22 |
| Superbet | 1.45 | 4.40 | 5.65 |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.39 ▼ -0.04
X
4.60 ▲ +0.10
2
6.35 ▲ +0.40
5 snapshots recorded, from .