Garuda Lions
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USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery

2 – 2 Full time

11′S. Tregarthen
14′M. Berry
18′R. Williams
21′M. Berry
28′K. Cole
35′J. Kelly
39′R. Williams
46′B. WashingtonP. Kavita
66′K. PakhomovC. Allan
66′E. YcazaL. Kissiedou
71′N. BrownD. McCartney
71′P. VassellA. Daley
75′C. SwanC. A. Sanchez Gonzalez
75′M. FosterA. Cabrera
80′R. WilliamsR. Damus
80′G. DiarbianS. Saucedo
82′D. MartinezL. Blackstock
90′T. PasherS. Ngoma

Protective StadiumReferee: E. Carvajal

Birmingham Legion 26%
Draw 24%
Charleston Battery 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBirmingham LegionDrawCharleston Battery
Model21.0%21.1%57.9%
Market27.6%24.4%48.0%
Final25.9%23.6%50.5%
Edge-6.6%-3.4%+9.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Charleston Battery

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.37.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Charleston Battery below the model: +9.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Birmingham Leg ↓ / Charleston Bat → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 7% 5% 5% 1 9% 9% 7% 7% 2 5% 6% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Birmingham Legion and Charleston Battery expected goals

Birmingham Legion 1.37
Charleston Battery 2.32

Total expected goals: 3.68

Birmingham Legion and Charleston Battery attack and defence ratings

Birmingham Legion

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Charleston Battery

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery: result vs prediction

Birmingham Legion 2 – 2 Charleston Battery

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Charleston Battery 50.5% 1.98 +9.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.1% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.9% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.1% 2.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Birmingham Legion25.9%
Draw23.6%
Charleston Battery50.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.1%
Under 2.528.9%
Both teams to scoreYes67.9%
No32.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.5%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)74.1%
Handicap -1Charleston Battery win37.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss42.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.2%
1-18.8%
1-37.1%

Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery stats

Birmingham Legion and Charleston Battery recent form

newest first
Birmingham Legion DLLLWL
Charleston Battery LWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Birmingham Legion and Charleston Battery going into this match

league record before kick-off

Birmingham Legion record

  • They have won 3 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.9 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Charleston Battery record

  • They have won 12 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Birmingham Legion wins 1Draws 7Charleston Battery wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Charleston BatteryBirmingham LegionUSL Championship3-2
2025-10-25Charleston BatteryBirmingham LegionUSL Championship2-1
2025-07-03Birmingham LegionCharleston BatteryUSL Championship0-0
2024-07-05Charleston BatteryBirmingham LegionUSL Championship2-0
2024-05-16Birmingham LegionCharleston BatteryUSL Championship0-1
2023-10-29Charleston BatteryBirmingham LegionUSL Championship2-1
2023-10-14Charleston BatteryBirmingham LegionUSL Championship1-0
2023-07-29Birmingham LegionCharleston BatteryUSL Championship1-2
2022-07-10Charleston BatteryBirmingham LegionUSL Championship0-3
2022-04-28Birmingham LegionCharleston BatteryUSL Championship2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.6%, draw 24.5%, away 47.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.32 3.72 1.89
Bet365 3.30 3.70 1.85
BetVictor 3.40 3.80 1.90
Betano 3.30 3.65 1.91
Betfair 3.30 3.80 1.85
Dafabet 3.40 3.80 1.92
Marathonbet 3.26 3.72 1.87
Pinnacle 3.36 4.03 1.95
Unibet 3.25 3.50 1.90
William Hill 3.20 3.60 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▼ -0.12
X 3.72 ▼ -0.36
2 1.90 ▲ +0.02

14 snapshots recorded, from .