Charleston Battery
vs
Monterey Bay
1 – 0 Full time
| 41′ | N. Ross | ||
| 46′ | F. BarajasO. Glasgow | ||
| 58′ | Jacob MontesF. Canete | ||
| 59′ | C. SwanC. A. Sanchez Gonzalez | ||
| 60′ | F. Canete | ||
| 68′ | E. YcazaC. Allan | ||
| 68′ | L. KissiedouK. Pakhomov | ||
| 68′ | M. FosterL. Blackstock | ||
| 77′ | K. EgwuZ. Farnsworth | ||
| 78′ | C. A. Sanchez Gonzalez | ||
| 79′ | S. LletgetW. Leggett | ||
| 79′ | N. RossJudson | ||
| 87′ | Judson | ||
| 90′ | J. KellyS. Suber |
Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay
| Probability | Charleston Battery | Draw | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.4% | 15.5% | 10.1% |
| Market | 65.4% | 19.9% | 14.7% |
| Final | 67.7% | 18.8% | 13.5% |
| Edge | +8.9% | -4.4% | -4.5% |
Why Charleston Battery
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.84 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Charleston Battery below the model: +8.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Charleston Battery and Monterey Bay expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.86
Charleston Battery and Monterey Bay attack and defence ratings
Charleston Battery
Monterey Bay
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay: result vs prediction
Charleston Battery 1 – 0 Monterey Bay
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 67.7% | 1.48 | +8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 67.7% |
| Draw | 18.8% | |
| Monterey Bay | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% |
| No | 39.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 55.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 25.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.7% |
| 2-0 | 8.5% | |
| 3-1 | 8.2% |
Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay stats
Charleston Battery and Monterey Bay recent form
| Charleston Battery |
DLWWLW |
| Monterey Bay |
DDLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charleston Battery and Monterey Bay going into this match
Charleston Battery record
- They have won 12 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monterey Bay record
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-30 | Monterey Bay | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Charleston Battery | Monterey Bay | USL Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.6%, draw 20.0%, away 14.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.53 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.45 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 4.60 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 5.12 | 6.48 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .