Colorado Springs
vs
FC Tulsa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Colorado Springs
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.11 vs 0.78.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Colorado Springs is the favourite, not a value bet.
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa
| Probability | Colorado Springs | Draw | FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.9% | 34.0% | 24.2% |
| Market | 58.8% | 23.4% | 17.8% |
| Final | 54.6% | 26.0% | 19.4% |
| Edge | -4.2% | +2.6% | +1.6% |
Why Colorado Springs
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.11 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.59, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.3% per unit staked (our 54.6% × 1.59 − 1).
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa match preview
Colorado Springs enters the match against FC Tulsa with a 55% probability of winning, while the visitors have a 19% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Colorado Springs, with an expected goals tally of 1.11 for them and 0.78 for FC Tulsa. Recent form shows Colorado Springs with a record of W-D-D-D-D-W, while FC Tulsa has L-D-D-W-D-D.
In their last four encounters, the teams have each secured two wins, indicating a competitive history. The model suggests a 29% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance for both teams to score. Overall, the confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colorado Springs and FC Tulsa expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.89
Colorado Springs and FC Tulsa attack and defence ratings
Colorado Springs
FC Tulsa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Springs | 54.6% | 1.83 | -4.2% | 1.59 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Springs | 54.6% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| FC Tulsa | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.5% |
| No | 62.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colorado Springs win | 18.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 58.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.5% |
| 1-0 | 15.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa stats
Colorado Springs and FC Tulsa recent form
| Colorado Springs |
WDDDDW |
| FC Tulsa |
LDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colorado Springs and FC Tulsa season so far
Colorado Springs record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Tulsa record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | FC Tulsa | Colorado Springs | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-02 | FC Tulsa | Colorado Springs | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | FC Tulsa | Colorado Springs | USL Championship | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Colorado Springs | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | FC Tulsa | Colorado Springs | USL Championship | 1-4 |
| 2024-07-05 | Colorado Springs | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-10 | Colorado Springs | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-24 | FC Tulsa | Colorado Springs | USL Championship | 0-2 |
| 2020-10-04 | FC Tulsa | Colorado Springs | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2019-07-14 | Colorado Springs | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.8%, draw 23.4%, away 17.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 3.88 | 5.53 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.85 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.59 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 3.88 | 5.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 4.01 | 5.47 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .