Loudoun United
vs
Brooklyn
Garuda Lions Prediction: Loudoun United
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.92.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Loudoun United is the favourite, not a value bet.
Loudoun United vs Brooklyn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Loudoun United vs Brooklyn
| Probability | Loudoun United | Draw | Brooklyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.6% | 21.8% | 14.6% |
| Market | 57.8% | 22.1% | 20.1% |
| Final | 59.3% | 22.1% | 18.7% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -0.1% | -1.4% |
Why Loudoun United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.0% per unit staked (our 59.3% × 1.62 − 1).
Loudoun United vs Brooklyn match preview
Loudoun United enters this match with a 63% probability of winning against Brooklyn, who sit at 15%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with an expected goals tally of 2.10 for Loudoun United compared to 0.95 for Brooklyn. Additionally, there is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams to score has a 55% probability.
In terms of recent form, Loudoun United has recorded a mixed bag of results with a D-L-W-D-W-L streak, while Brooklyn has struggled, managing only one win in their last six matches (W-L-L-L-D-L). In their last head-to-head encounter, Loudoun United emerged victorious, further boosting their confidence going into this match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Loudoun United and Brooklyn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Loudoun United and Brooklyn attack and defence ratings
Loudoun United
Brooklyn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Loudoun United vs Brooklyn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Loudoun United | 59.3% | 1.69 | +1.5% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loudoun United win | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Loudoun United | 59.3% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Brooklyn | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Loudoun United win | 40.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 36.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.7% |
| 1-1 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Loudoun United vs Brooklyn stats
Loudoun United and Brooklyn recent form
| Loudoun United |
DLWDWL |
| Brooklyn |
LWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Loudoun United and Brooklyn season so far
Loudoun United record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brooklyn record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Loudoun United vs Brooklyn head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Brooklyn | Loudoun United | USL Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Loudoun United vs Brooklyn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.8%, draw 22.1%, away 20.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.10 | 4.63 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 4.39 | 4.66 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .