Brooklyn
vs
Birmingham Legion
Garuda Lions Prediction: Birmingham Legion
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion
| Probability | Brooklyn | Draw | Birmingham Legion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.2% | 21.6% | 55.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.2% | 21.6% | 55.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Birmingham Legion
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.44.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion match preview
In the upcoming USL Championship match, Brooklyn faces Birmingham Legion with a kickoff scheduled for October 21, 2026. According to our model, Brooklyn has a 23% probability of winning, while Birmingham Legion stands at 55%, with a draw at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Birmingham Legion, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Brooklyn is 1.44, compared to Birmingham Legion's 2.26, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Recent form shows Brooklyn struggling with three consecutive losses followed by two draws, while Birmingham Legion has experienced a mix of results, including two wins in their last five matches. Additionally, there is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score, with a 69% probability. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brooklyn and Birmingham Legion expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.70
Brooklyn and Birmingham Legion attack and defence ratings
Brooklyn
Birmingham Legion
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage fixtures
Before and after this match
Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birmingham Legion | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brooklyn | 23.2% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Birmingham Legion | 55.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% |
| No | 30.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Birmingham Legion win | 34.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-3 | 6.8% |
Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion stats
Brooklyn and Birmingham Legion recent form
| Brooklyn |
LLLDLD |
| Birmingham Legion |
WLWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brooklyn and Birmingham Legion season so far
Brooklyn record
- They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Birmingham Legion record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brooklyn vs Birmingham Legion head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Birmingham Legion | Brooklyn | USL Championship | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.