Hartford Athletic
vs
Brooklyn
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hartford Athletic
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn
| Probability | Hartford Athletic | Draw | Brooklyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.5% | 16.4% | 9.1% |
| Market | 65.7% | 19.3% | 14.9% |
| Final | 67.9% | 18.6% | 13.5% |
| Edge | +8.8% | -2.9% | -5.8% |
Why Hartford Athletic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Hartford Athletic below the model: +8.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn match preview
Hartford Athletic enters this match against Brooklyn with a strong probability of winning at 75%. Their recent form shows a mixed bag of results with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches. In contrast, Brooklyn has struggled significantly, recording five losses and a draw in their last six games. The expected goals for Hartford Athletic stand at 2.65, while Brooklyn is projected at just 0.86, indicating a significant disparity in offensive capabilities.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Hartford Athletic, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. Additionally, there is a 54% likelihood that both teams will score. In their last encounter, Hartford Athletic secured a win against Brooklyn, further emphasizing their dominance in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hartford Athletic and Brooklyn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.46
Hartford Athletic and Brooklyn attack and defence ratings
Hartford Athletic
Brooklyn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hartford Athletic | 67.9% | 1.47 | +8.8% | 1.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Hartford Athletic win | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hartford Athletic | 67.9% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| Brooklyn | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hartford Athletic win | 53.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 25.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.7% |
| 3-0 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.1% |
Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn stats
Hartford Athletic and Brooklyn recent form
| Hartford Athletic |
DLDDWW |
| Brooklyn |
LLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hartford Athletic and Brooklyn season so far
Hartford Athletic record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brooklyn record
- They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Brooklyn | Hartford Athletic | USL League One Cup | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Brooklyn | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.4%, draw 19.6%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 4.60 | 6.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 5.25 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.35 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.45 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 4.60 | 5.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 4.89 | 6.54 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .