USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Brooklyn vs Rhode Island

1 – 3 Full time

18′A. Shapiro-Thompson
22′K. Yao
28′Gabriel Alves
42′S. Korzeniowski
45′Y. Tsukada
46′P. MangioneT. Okiyoshi
46′V. LatinovichT. McNamara
46′J. ObregonA. Kante
55′N. Scardina
57′H. Bacharach Capdevila
62′Y. TsukadaO. Foyo
62′D. RoviraLeo Afonso
72′H. Bacharach CapdevilaZ. Herivaux
73′S. KorzeniowskiE. Klein
73′R. McLaughlinJ. Klein
79′N. FusonN. Pierre
81′A. FontanaS. Nishikawa
85′M. Pinto

Maimonides ParkReferee: C. Rodriguez

Brooklyn 21%
Draw 25%
Rhode Island 54%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Brooklyn vs Rhode Island overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Brooklyn vs Rhode Island

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBrooklynDrawRhode Island
Model19.5%26.6%53.9%
Market21.9%24.2%53.9%
Final21.3%24.8%53.9%
Edge-2.4%+2.5%-0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Rhode Island

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Brooklyn ↓ / Rhode Island → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 10% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Brooklyn and Rhode Island expected goals

Brooklyn 0.92
Rhode Island 1.67

Total expected goals: 2.58

Brooklyn and Rhode Island attack and defence ratings

Brooklyn

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.57 +57%

Rhode Island

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Brooklyn vs Rhode Island: result vs prediction

Brooklyn 1 – 3 Rhode Island

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Brooklyn vs Rhode Island markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rhode Island 53.9% 1.86 -0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.3% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.1% 2.17 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Brooklyn21.3%
Draw24.8%
Rhode Island53.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.7%
Under 2.552.3%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.1%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)78.7%
Handicap -1Rhode Island win30.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss46.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
0-111.4%
0-210.5%

Brooklyn vs Rhode Island stats

Brooklyn and Rhode Island recent form

newest first
Brooklyn LLDLDL
Rhode Island WLLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Brooklyn and Rhode Island going into this match

league record before kick-off

Brooklyn record

  • They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rhode Island record

  • They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brooklyn vs Rhode Island head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Brooklyn wins 1Draws 1Rhode Island wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-11Rhode IslandBrooklynUSL League One Cup1-1
2026-05-23Rhode IslandBrooklynUSL Championship4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Brooklyn vs Rhode Island odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.9%, draw 24.2%, away 53.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.24 4.25 1.73
Bet365 4.10 3.70 1.67
BetVictor 4.33 3.75 1.70
Betano 4.05 3.75 1.70
Betfair 4.20 3.75 1.67
Marathonbet 4.05 3.76 1.65
Pinnacle 4.20 4.08 1.75
William Hill 3.90 3.80 1.67

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.15 ▲ +0.30
X 3.75 ▲ +0.13
2 1.69 ▼ -0.06

10 snapshots recorded, from .