Detroit City
vs
Rhode Island
Garuda Lions Prediction: Detroit City
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Detroit City vs Rhode Island overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Detroit City vs Rhode Island
| Probability | Detroit City | Draw | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 35.8% | 19.9% |
| Market | 41.4% | 27.6% | 31.0% |
| Final | 42.1% | 29.6% | 28.2% |
| Edge | +3.0% | +8.2% | -11.1% |
Why Detroit City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.05 vs 0.61.
- The market prices Detroit City below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Detroit City vs Rhode Island match preview
Detroit City enters this matchup against Rhode Island with a 44% probability of winning, while the draw stands at 36% and Rhode Island at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Detroit City, with a 19% chance of occurring. Expected goals suggest a strong performance from Detroit City at 1.05, compared to Rhode Island's 0.61.
In terms of recent form, Detroit City has recorded two wins, one draw, one loss, and another draw in their last five matches. Conversely, Rhode Island has a mixed record with two wins, two losses, and one draw in the same timeframe. The last three encounters between the teams have seen one win for each side and one draw, indicating a competitive history.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Detroit City and Rhode Island expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.66
Detroit City and Rhode Island attack and defence ratings
Detroit City
Rhode Island
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Detroit City vs Rhode Island markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Detroit City | 42.1% | 2.37 | +3.0% | 2.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Detroit City | 42.1% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Rhode Island | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.9% |
| No | 69.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Detroit City win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.3% |
| 1-0 | 18.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.4% |
Detroit City vs Rhode Island stats
Detroit City and Rhode Island recent form
| Detroit City |
WWDWLD |
| Rhode Island |
WWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Detroit City and Rhode Island season so far
Detroit City record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Rhode Island record
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Detroit City vs Rhode Island head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Rhode Island | Detroit City | USL Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Rhode Island | Detroit City | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Detroit City | Rhode Island | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-03 | Detroit City | Rhode Island | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-06-08 | Rhode Island | Detroit City | USL Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Detroit City vs Rhode Island odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 27.6%, away 31.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.16 | 2.95 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.16 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.43 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .