Hartford Athletic
vs
Charleston Battery
Garuda Lions Prediction: Charleston Battery
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery
| Probability | Hartford Athletic | Draw | Charleston Battery |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 27.7% | 40.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.6% | 27.7% | 40.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Charleston Battery
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery match preview
Hartford Athletic faces Charleston Battery in a matchup where the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter. Hartford Athletic has a 32% chance of winning, while Charleston Battery holds a 41% probability. The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 1-2, with expected goals of 1.28 for Hartford and 1.48 for Charleston. Additionally, there is a 52% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Hartford Athletic has recorded two draws, followed by three wins, while Charleston Battery has shown strong performance with four wins, a draw, and a loss in their last six matches. Historically, Charleston Battery has the upper hand in their last ten encounters, with six wins compared to Hartford's three victories and one draw. The confidence grade for this analysis is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hartford Athletic and Charleston Battery expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Hartford Athletic and Charleston Battery attack and defence ratings
Hartford Athletic
Charleston Battery
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage fixtures
Before and after this match
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hartford Athletic | 31.6% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Charleston Battery | 40.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 59.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.2% |
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery stats
Hartford Athletic and Charleston Battery recent form
| Hartford Athletic |
DDWWDW |
| Charleston Battery |
WWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hartford Athletic and Charleston Battery season so far
Hartford Athletic record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charleston Battery record
- They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Charleston Battery | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-14 | Hartford Athletic | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Charleston Battery | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 4-2 |
| 2024-07-12 | Hartford Athletic | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Charleston Battery | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-17 | Hartford Athletic | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 3-4 |
| 2023-04-08 | Charleston Battery | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 3-2 |
| 2022-10-01 | Hartford Athletic | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 6-3 |
| 2022-07-17 | Charleston Battery | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-26 | Hartford Athletic | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.