Pittsburgh Riverhounds
vs
Hartford Athletic
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic
| Probability | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Draw | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 34.9% | 34.1% |
| Market | 44.7% | 29.8% | 25.6% |
| Final | 41.3% | 31.0% | 27.7% |
| Edge | -13.6% | +5.1% | +8.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.14, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic match preview
Pittsburgh Riverhounds host Hartford Athletic in an intriguing USL Championship matchup. The Riverhounds have a 42% probability of winning, while Hartford Athletic's chances stand at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Pittsburgh, with a 13% probability. Both teams have shown contrasting recent form, with Pittsburgh recording two losses in their last six matches, while Hartford has managed to secure three wins in the same period.
In terms of expected goals, Pittsburgh is projected to score 0.90, while Hartford is slightly ahead at 0.96. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 29%, and both teams scoring sits at 38%. Historically, Pittsburgh has been dominant in their last four encounters, winning twice and drawing twice, with Hartford yet to secure a victory against them.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.87
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic attack and defence ratings
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Hartford Athletic
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 41.3% | 2.42 | -13.6% | 2.14 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 41.3% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Hartford Athletic | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.1% |
| No | 61.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds win | 11.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 68.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.8% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.5% |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic stats
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic recent form
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
LLWDDL |
| Hartford Athletic |
DDWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic season so far
Pittsburgh Riverhounds record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hartford Athletic record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Hartford Athletic | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Hartford Athletic | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-22 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-21 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 3-1 |
| 2024-06-15 | Hartford Athletic | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2023-08-23 | Hartford Athletic | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 3-4 |
| 2023-08-12 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-23 | Hartford Athletic | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2022-03-19 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.7%, draw 29.8%, away 25.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.04 | 3.49 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.04 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.00 | 3.74 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 2.90 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .