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USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic

2 – 1 Full time

6′T. Amann
13′S. Anaku
21′T. Amann
41′M. Ngalina
46′T. AmannE. Goldthorp
46′J. ScarlettT. Presthus
66′C. Ahl
73′M. NgalinaA. Williams
73′S. AnakuA. Obalola
76′M. RealB. Njie
76′B. CoffeyB. Mines
78′R. MertzB. Etou
78′C. AhlY. Tsukanome
90′D. Griffin

Highmark StadiumReferee: A. Yaya

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 41%
Draw 31%
Hartford Athletic 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPittsburgh RiverhoundsDrawHartford Athletic
Model31.1%34.8%34.1%
Market44.4%29.7%25.9%
Final41.1%31.0%27.9%
Edge-3.3%+1.3%+2.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pittsburgh Riv ↓ / Hartford Athle → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 14% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic expected goals

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0.90
Hartford Athletic 0.96

Total expected goals: 1.87

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic attack and defence ratings

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Hartford Athletic

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic: result vs prediction

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2 – 1 Hartford Athletic

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 41.1% 2.43 -3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.3% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 61.9% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.0% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pittsburgh Riverhounds41.1%
Draw31.0%
Hartford Athletic27.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.7%
Under 2.571.3%
Both teams to scoreYes38.1%
No61.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.1%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)58.9%
Handicap -1Pittsburgh Riverhounds win11.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss69.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.8%
1-114.8%
0-113.5%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic stats

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic recent form

newest first
Pittsburgh Riverhounds LLWDDL
Hartford Athletic DDWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Hartford Athletic going into this match

league record before kick-off

Pittsburgh Riverhounds record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hartford Athletic record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Pittsburgh Riverhounds wins 2Draws 1Hartford Athletic wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-20Hartford AthleticPittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship0-0
2025-11-01Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHartford AthleticUSL Championship0-0
2025-09-20Hartford AthleticPittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship1-2
2025-03-22Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHartford AthleticUSL Championship1-0
2024-07-21Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHartford AthleticUSL Championship3-1
2024-06-15Hartford AthleticPittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship2-0
2023-08-23Hartford AthleticPittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship3-4
2023-08-12Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHartford AthleticUSL Championship2-0
2022-07-23Hartford AthleticPittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship1-2
2022-03-19Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHartford AthleticUSL Championship2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 29.7%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.04 3.04 3.49
Bet365 2.05 3.20 3.30
BetVictor 2.10 3.13 3.50
Betano 2.07 3.05 3.45
Betfair 1.95 3.10 3.60
Dafabet 2.02 3.25 3.75
Marathonbet 2.02 3.04 3.40
Pinnacle 2.16 3.03 3.79
William Hill 2.00 2.90 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.04 ▲ +0.02
X 3.05 ▼ -0.05
2 3.50 ▼ -0.06

12 snapshots recorded, from .