USL Championship
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Charleston Battery
vs
Louisville City
0 – 2 Full time
| 36′ | K. Lambert | ||
| 46′ | J. MorrisA. Dia | ||
| 51′ | J. Wilson | ||
| 62′ | C. AllanL. Kissiedou | ||
| 62′ | N. HoussouN. Messer | ||
| 64′ | B. NiangZ. Duncan | ||
| 64′ | C. DonovanS. Gleadle | ||
| 74′ | C. A. Sanchez GonzalezC. Swan | ||
| 74′ | M. FosterL. Blackstock | ||
| 77′ | J. WilsonR. Serrano | ||
| 83′ | E. PerezS. Totsch | ||
| 83′ | D. MartinezG. Smith | ||
| 88′ | M. Akale |
Charleston Battery
49%
Draw
24%
Louisville City
26%
Charleston Battery vs Louisville City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charleston Battery vs Louisville City
| Probability | Charleston Battery | Draw | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.4% | 19.1% | 13.5% |
| Market | 43.5% | 26.1% | 30.4% |
| Final | 49.5% | 24.3% | 26.2% |
| Edge | +6.0% | -1.7% | -4.2% |
Why Charleston Battery
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Charleston Battery below our published probability: +6.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Charleston Battery and Louisville City expected goals
Charleston Battery
2.43
Louisville City
1.03
Total expected goals: 3.47
Charleston Battery and Louisville City attack and defence ratings
Charleston Battery
Attack
1.45 +45%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Louisville City
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Charleston Battery vs Louisville City: result vs prediction
Charleston Battery 0 – 2 Louisville City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Charleston Battery vs Louisville City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 49.5% | 2.02 | +6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleston Battery | 49.5% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Louisville City | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% |
| No | 40.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleston Battery win | 46.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 32.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-0 | 9.2% | |
| 1-1 | 8.6% |
Charleston Battery vs Louisville City stats
Charleston Battery and Louisville City recent form
| Charleston Battery |
WWDLWW |
| Louisville City |
DWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charleston Battery and Louisville City going into this match
Charleston Battery record
- They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Louisville City record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Charleston Battery vs Louisville City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Charleston Battery wins
3Draws
4Louisville City wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Louisville City | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Louisville City | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 4-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Charleston Battery | Louisville City | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-18 | Louisville City | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-09 | Charleston Battery | Louisville City | USL Championship | 3-2 |
| 2023-11-04 | Charleston Battery | Louisville City | USL Championship | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-10 | Louisville City | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-22 | Charleston Battery | Louisville City | USL Championship | 0-0 |
| 2022-08-07 | Louisville City | Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 4-1 |
| 2022-04-23 | Charleston Battery | Louisville City | USL Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Charleston Battery vs Louisville City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 26.1%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.44 | 3.07 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.44 | 3.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.62 | 3.28 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.10 ▲ +0.19
X
3.50 ▼ -0.10
2
3.00 ▼ -0.42
12 snapshots recorded, from .