Rhode Island
vs
Monterey Bay
3 – 1 Full time
Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay
| Probability | Rhode Island | Draw | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.1% | 22.8% | 15.1% |
| Market | 67.5% | 19.3% | 13.1% |
| Final | 66.2% | 20.2% | 13.6% |
| Edge | -5.5% | +3.5% | +2.0% |
Why Rhode Island
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rhode Island and Monterey Bay expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Rhode Island and Monterey Bay attack and defence ratings
Rhode Island
Monterey Bay
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay: result vs prediction
Rhode Island 3 – 1 Monterey Bay
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rhode Island | 66.2% | 1.51 | -5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rhode Island win | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rhode Island | 66.2% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Monterey Bay | 13.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rhode Island win | 38.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.0% |
| 1-1 | 10.9% | |
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay stats
Rhode Island and Monterey Bay recent form
| Rhode Island |
LWLWWL |
| Monterey Bay |
DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rhode Island and Monterey Bay going into this match
Rhode Island record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monterey Bay record
- They have won 4 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Rhode Island | Monterey Bay | USL Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.4%, draw 19.4%, away 13.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 4.70 | 7.11 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 4.65 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.38 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 4.70 | 6.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.16 | 7.44 |
| Superbet | 1.37 | 4.75 | 6.40 |
| Unibet | 1.43 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .