FC Tulsa
vs
Rhode Island
1 – 0 Full time
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island
| Probability | FC Tulsa | Draw | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 31.9% | 25.7% |
| Market | 33.0% | 28.8% | 38.3% |
| Final | 35.3% | 29.6% | 35.1% |
| Edge | +9.4% | +3.1% | -12.5% |
Why FC Tulsa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.90.
- The market prices FC Tulsa below the model: +9.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Tulsa and Rhode Island expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
FC Tulsa and Rhode Island attack and defence ratings
FC Tulsa
Rhode Island
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island: result vs prediction
FC Tulsa 1 – 0 Rhode Island
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tulsa | 35.3% | 2.83 | +9.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tulsa | 35.3% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Rhode Island | 35.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.1% |
| No | 56.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tulsa win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 13.3% |
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island stats
FC Tulsa and Rhode Island recent form
| FC Tulsa |
WLLWWD |
| Rhode Island |
WLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Tulsa and Rhode Island going into this match
FC Tulsa record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Rhode Island record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.0%, draw 28.8%, away 38.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.73 | 3.14 | 2.35 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.25 | 2.37 |
| Marathonbet | 2.73 | 3.14 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84 | 3.27 | 2.45 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .