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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo FC

4 – 3 Full time

1′L. Dugarte
20′David Copete
22′Jean Sanchez
24′Ezequiel neira
28′J. Ochoa
45′Andres Kinsler
45′M. Nunez
46′J. SanchezJ. Arias
46′D. CopeteG. Martinez
46′L. MartinezA. Gonzalez
46′S. MendozaM. Cova
46′J. DuranD. Machis
49′L. DugarteC. Maldonado
55′J. Bilbao
56′José Luis Ochoa Machado
59′Bryan Castillo
59′Stiven Samuel Espinosa Orejuela
60′D. MezaJ. Berios
65′F. DiazP. Chacon
70′B. Castillo
74′J. OchoaJ. Moran
79′Carabobo FCE. Castillo
90′Cristian Maldonado
90′J. Moran
90′C. Maldonado

Estadio José Pachencho Romero, MaracaiboReferee: R. Gonzalez

Rayo Zuliano 14%
Draw 24%
Carabobo FC 63%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRayo ZulianoDrawCarabobo FC
Model16.2%27.1%56.8%
Market12.9%22.4%64.7%
Final13.7%23.5%62.7%
Edge+3.2%+4.7%-7.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Carabobo FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rayo Zuliano ↓ / Carabobo FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 14% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Rayo Zuliano and Carabobo FC expected goals

Rayo Zuliano 0.75
Carabobo FC 1.61

Total expected goals: 2.36

Rayo Zuliano and Carabobo FC attack and defence ratings

Rayo Zuliano

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.60 +60%

Carabobo FC

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo FC: result vs prediction

Rayo Zuliano 4 – 3 Carabobo FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Carabobo FC 62.7% 1.59 -7.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.0% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.3% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.2% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rayo Zuliano13.7%
Draw23.5%
Carabobo FC62.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.0%
Under 2.558.0%
Both teams to scoreYes43.4%
No56.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)37.3%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)86.3%
Handicap -1Carabobo FC win31.5%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss43.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-114.0%
1-112.5%
0-212.2%

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo FC stats

Rayo Zuliano and Carabobo FC recent form

newest first
Rayo Zuliano LLLWLL
Carabobo FC DDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rayo Zuliano and Carabobo FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rayo Zuliano record

  • They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Carabobo FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo FC head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Rayo Zuliano wins 3Draws 3Carabobo FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15Carabobo FCRayo ZulianoVenezuela Primera División5-0
2025-08-30Rayo ZulianoCarabobo FCVenezuela Primera División0-2
2025-03-29Carabobo FCRayo ZulianoVenezuela Primera División1-0
2024-10-05Rayo ZulianoCarabobo FCPrimera División2-1
2024-04-06Carabobo FCRayo ZulianoPrimera División2-2
2023-07-29Rayo ZulianoCarabobo FCPrimera División0-0
2023-04-15Carabobo FCRayo ZulianoPrimera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.9%, draw 22.4%, away 64.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 7.00 4.00 1.40
1xBet 7.95 4.05 1.37
Bet365 7.50 4.00 1.36
BetVictor 7.50 4.10 1.40
Betano 6.60 4.10 1.44
Betfair 7.00 4.20 1.36
Dafabet 7.20 4.20 1.42
Marathonbet 7.60 4.05 1.36
Pinnacle 6.89 4.10 1.42
SBO 6.18 3.78 1.34
Superbet 6.50 4.15 1.43
Unibet 5.20 3.55 1.54
William Hill 7.50 3.80 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.00 —
X 4.05 —
2 1.40 ▼ -0.01

2 snapshots recorded, from .