UCV
vs
Rayo Zuliano
4 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | A. Kinsler | ||
| 25′ | A. Jimenez | ||
| 30′ | J. Arias | ||
| 39′ | A. Jimenez | ||
| 39′ | A. Jimenez | ||
| 42′ | C. MaldonadoJ. Julio | ||
| 45′ | Y. Cumana | ||
| 45′ | A. Kinsler | ||
| 45′ | C. Romero | ||
| 54′ | S. Sosa | ||
| 58′ | J. AraujoE. Mosquera | ||
| 58′ | W. LugoJ. Alegria | ||
| 62′ | S. Sosa | ||
| 76′ | C. RomeroL. Dugarte | ||
| 80′ | S. SosaD. De Sousa | ||
| 81′ | J. Alegria | ||
| 84′ | J. GomezF. Chavez | ||
| 84′ | J. AriasJ. A. Colina Bracho | ||
| 84′ | J. OchoaJ. Barrios | ||
| 88′ | Y. CumanaE. Peraza | ||
| 88′ | J. ZapataV. Rodriguez | ||
| 90′ | V. Rodriguez | ||
| 90′ | J. Julio | ||
| 90′ | E. Mosquera | ||
| 90′ | F. Chavez | ||
| 90′ | J. Alegria |
UCV vs Rayo Zuliano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: UCV vs Rayo Zuliano
| Probability | UCV | Draw | Rayo Zuliano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.2% | 27.0% | 27.8% |
| Market | 58.6% | 23.3% | 18.2% |
| Final | 55.2% | 24.2% | 20.6% |
| Edge | -13.4% | +3.7% | +9.7% |
Why UCV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.22.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
UCV and Rayo Zuliano expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
UCV and Rayo Zuliano attack and defence ratings
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
UCV vs Rayo Zuliano: result vs prediction
UCV 4 – 1 Rayo Zuliano
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
UCV vs Rayo Zuliano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UCV | 55.2% | 1.81 | -13.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UCV | 55.2% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Rayo Zuliano | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | UCV win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
UCV vs Rayo Zuliano stats
UCV and Rayo Zuliano recent form
| UCV |
LLLWLL |
| Rayo Zuliano |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
UCV and Rayo Zuliano going into this match
UCV record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rayo Zuliano record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
UCV vs Rayo Zuliano head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Rayo Zuliano | UCV | Venezuela Primera División | 1-5 |
| 2025-09-27 | UCV | Rayo Zuliano | Venezuela Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Rayo Zuliano | UCV | Venezuela Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-26 | UCV | Rayo Zuliano | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Rayo Zuliano | UCV | Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2023-06-24 | Rayo Zuliano | UCV | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-19 | UCV | Rayo Zuliano | Primera División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
UCV vs Rayo Zuliano odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.6%, draw 23.3%, away 18.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.17 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.95 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 3.89 | 5.03 |
| Superbet | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .