Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 6

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC

0 – 0 Full time

25′J. Quintero
27′A. Penaranda
63′Robert Hernandez
64′N. Sanvicente
72′A. PenarandaL. Zuniga
73′A. PerezB. Palmezano
74′W. CorreaM. Covea
74′J. De SantisS. Gonzalez
81′V. AdamoA. Woiski
84′M. Covea
85′A. VillarrealM. Marquez
85′Robert HernandezA. Figueroa
88′M. Covea
88′M. Covea
90′P. Camacho
90′J. SanchezG. Lozano
90′C. LarotondaM. Vegas

Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, San CristobalReferee: R. Cueva

Deportivo Tachira FC 63%
Draw 22%
Caracas FC 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo Tachira FCDrawCaracas FC
Model65.2%20.4%14.4%
Market62.3%22.6%15.1%
Final63.0%22.1%14.9%
Edge+2.9%-2.2%-0.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Tachira FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.00.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Deportivo Tachira FC below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Tach ↓ / Caracas FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 9% 2 10% 10% 5% 3 7% 7% 4+ 7% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Deportivo Tachira FC and Caracas FC expected goals

Deportivo Tachira FC 2.28
Caracas FC 1.00

Total expected goals: 3.28

Deportivo Tachira FC and Caracas FC attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Caracas FC

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC: result vs prediction

Deportivo Tachira FC 0 – 0 Caracas FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 6 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Tachira FC 63.0% 1.59 +2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.8% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.8% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.1% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Deportivo Tachira FC win 43.2% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Tachira FC63.0%
Draw22.1%
Caracas FC14.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.8%
Under 2.536.2%
Both teams to scoreYes57.8%
No42.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.1%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)37.0%
Handicap -1Deportivo Tachira FC win43.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss34.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.8%
2-09.7%
1-19.4%

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC stats

Deportivo Tachira FC and Caracas FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Tachira FC and Caracas FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Tachira FC record

  • They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Caracas FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Deportivo Tachira FC wins 5Draws 1Caracas FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07Caracas FCDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División0-1
2025-11-05Caracas FCDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-10-22Deportivo Tachira FCCaracas FCVenezuela Primera División2-3
2025-08-02Caracas FCDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-1
2025-02-23Deportivo Tachira FCCaracas FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2024-11-12Caracas FCDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-4
2024-10-29Deportivo Tachira FCCaracas FCPrimera División2-0
2024-08-21Deportivo Tachira FCCaracas FCPrimera División1-1
2024-03-03Caracas FCDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-0
2023-11-25Deportivo Tachira FCCaracas FCPrimera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.3%, draw 22.6%, away 15.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.48 4.00 5.75
1xBet 1.44 4.00 6.35
Bet365 1.44 3.80 6.25
BetVictor 1.45 4.33 6.00
Betano 1.50 3.95 5.80
Betfair 1.44 4.00 6.00
Dafabet 1.49 4.10 6.00
Marathonbet 1.43 4.00 6.10
Pinnacle 1.46 4.21 5.96
Superbet 1.49 4.10 5.60
Unibet 1.43 4.00 5.75
William Hill 1.50 3.90 6.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.