Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 6

Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC

2 – 2 Full time

2′A. Yepez
12′G. Ayine
28′Miku
48′G. Ayine
51′S. RamirezJ. Navarro
55′A. Yepez
56′A. YepezC. Montana
56′H. GarciaV. H. Navas Barrera
58′D. ZalzmanR. Sangiovani
58′MikuR. Garces
68′R. Rojas
74′J. PerezL. Moreno Quero
74′M. AcunaR. Mendoza
75′A. Ferro
82′K. OrtizJ. Ramirez
82′R. FigueroaA. Bianciotti
84′C. UrpinK. Zuniga
86′F. Manenti

Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez, AraureReferee: C. Parra

Portuguesa FC 39%
Draw 30%
Metropolitanos FC 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPortuguesa FCDrawMetropolitanos FC
Model42.3%31.2%26.5%
Market37.8%29.8%32.4%
Final38.9%30.1%30.9%
Edge+4.5%+1.5%-5.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Portuguesa FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.94.
  • The market prices Portuguesa FC below the model: +4.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Portuguesa FC ↓ / Metropolitanos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 13% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Portuguesa FC and Metropolitanos FC expected goals

Portuguesa FC 1.26
Metropolitanos FC 0.94

Total expected goals: 2.21

Portuguesa FC and Metropolitanos FC attack and defence ratings

Portuguesa FC

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Metropolitanos FC

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC: result vs prediction

Portuguesa FC 2 – 2 Metropolitanos FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 6 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Portuguesa FC 38.9% 2.57 +4.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score No 54.8% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.9% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Portuguesa FC38.9%
Draw30.1%
Metropolitanos FC30.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.9%
Under 2.562.1%
Both teams to scoreYes45.2%
No54.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.1%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)61.1%
Handicap -1Portuguesa FC win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-012.6%
0-012.3%

Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC stats

Portuguesa FC and Metropolitanos FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Portuguesa FC and Metropolitanos FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Portuguesa FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Metropolitanos FC record

  • They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Portuguesa FC wins 3Draws 4Metropolitanos FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Metropolitanos FCPortuguesa FCVenezuela Primera División3-2
2025-09-28Metropolitanos FCPortuguesa FCVenezuela Primera División5-1
2025-04-20Portuguesa FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División2-1
2024-09-13Metropolitanos FCPortuguesa FCPrimera División2-1
2024-03-20Portuguesa FCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División3-1
2023-06-23Metropolitanos FCPortuguesa FCPrimera División0-1
2023-05-21Portuguesa FCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División0-1
2022-07-23Metropolitanos FCPortuguesa FCPrimera División0-0
2022-05-01Portuguesa FCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División0-0
2021-11-23Portuguesa FCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 29.8%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.38 3.10 2.80
1xBet 2.40 2.99 2.76
Bet365 2.38 3.00 2.80
BetVictor 2.40 3.25 2.75
Betano 2.42 3.10 2.82
Betfair 2.30 3.25 2.75
Dafabet 2.45 3.15 2.85
Marathonbet 2.40 2.99 2.76
Pinnacle 2.46 3.03 2.81
Superbet 2.45 3.05 2.82
William Hill 2.45 2.90 2.90

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.