Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC

1 – 1 Full time

33′Luis Moreno
34′C. Larotonda
37′Sebastian Gonzalez
45′Jesus Yendis
46′H. GarciaO. Lopez
54′W. CorreaM. Vegas
54′S. GonzalezJ. Uribe
55′A. FigueroaM. Marquez
61′J. MartinezJ. Perez
61′A. PoloR. Rojas
63′juan uribe
66′A. YepezL. Lovazzano
69′Keiver Zuniga
73′A. VillarrealJ. De Santis
73′A. TrujilloG. Benitez
78′J. Perez
82′C. LarotondaL. Reinoso
90′Lucciano Reinoso
90′german aguirre

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, CaracasReferee: Y. Herrera

Caracas FC 28%
Draw 30%
Portuguesa FC 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCaracas FCDrawPortuguesa FC
Model28.4%29.9%41.7%
Market———
Final28.4%29.9%41.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Portuguesa FC

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Caracas FC ↓ / Portuguesa FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 11% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Caracas FC and Portuguesa FC expected goals

Caracas FC 1.06
Portuguesa FC 1.34

Total expected goals: 2.40

Caracas FC and Portuguesa FC attack and defence ratings

Caracas FC

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Portuguesa FC

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC: result vs prediction

Caracas FC 1 – 1 Portuguesa FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Portuguesa FC 41.7% 2.40 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.9% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score No 50.4% 1.98 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Caracas FC28.4%
Draw29.9%
Portuguesa FC41.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.1%
Under 2.556.9%
Both teams to scoreYes49.6%
No50.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.3%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)71.6%
Handicap -1Portuguesa FC win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-110.8%
0-010.4%

Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC stats

Caracas FC and Portuguesa FC recent form

newest first
Caracas FC DDWLLD
Portuguesa FC DDWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Caracas FC and Portuguesa FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Caracas FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Portuguesa FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Caracas FC wins 3Draws 3Portuguesa FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14Portuguesa FCCaracas FCVenezuela Primera División1-1
2025-08-16Caracas FCPortuguesa FCVenezuela Primera División2-0
2025-03-09Portuguesa FCCaracas FCVenezuela Primera División0-2
2024-08-07Portuguesa FCCaracas FCPrimera División0-1
2024-02-16Caracas FCPortuguesa FCPrimera División0-1
2023-11-04Portuguesa FCCaracas FCPrimera División3-1
2023-10-29Caracas FCPortuguesa FCPrimera División2-0
2023-09-02Portuguesa FCCaracas FCPrimera División1-1
2023-03-03Caracas FCPortuguesa FCPrimera División1-1
2022-08-27Portuguesa FCCaracas FCPrimera División2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.