Garuda Lions
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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC

0 – 1 Full time

43′Darvis Rodríguez
46′M. MarquezW. Correa
55′Robert Hernandez
61′L. MosqueraJ. Echeverria
61′C. SantosA. Abet
61′C. LarotondaM. Covea
66′Robert HernandezJ. Uribe
66′A. VillarrealS. Gonzalez
77′J. De SantisN. Vaquer
79′J. Uribe
83′N. Vaquer
84′Ezequiel Gnemmi
86′K. GonzalezN. Femia
86′D. RodriguezD. Linarez

Estadio Jose Alberto Perez, ValeraReferee: A. Herrera

Trujillanos FC 34%
Draw 30%
Caracas FC 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrujillanos FCDrawCaracas FC
Model33.6%29.2%37.2%
Market34.2%30.9%34.9%
Final34.0%30.5%35.5%
Edge-0.7%-1.7%+2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Caracas FC

  • The market prices Caracas FC below the model: +2.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trujillanos FC ↓ / Caracas FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Trujillanos FC and Caracas FC expected goals

Trujillanos FC 1.24
Caracas FC 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.55

Trujillanos FC and Caracas FC attack and defence ratings

Trujillanos FC

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.43 +43%

Caracas FC

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC: result vs prediction

Trujillanos FC 0 – 1 Caracas FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Caracas FC 35.5% 2.82 +2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.1% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.5% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.7% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trujillanos FC34.0%
Draw30.5%
Caracas FC35.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.9%
Under 2.553.1%
Both teams to scoreYes53.1%
No46.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.5%
12 (either side)69.5%
X2 (draw or away)66.0%
Handicap -1Caracas FC win17.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss62.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-09.1%
0-19.0%

Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC stats

Trujillanos FC and Caracas FC recent form

newest first
Trujillanos FC LWDLLL
Caracas FC DDDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Trujillanos FC and Caracas FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Trujillanos FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 20 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Caracas FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Trujillanos FC wins 3Draws 4Caracas FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-17Caracas FCTrujillanos FCVenezuela Primera División4-2
2020-02-23Trujillanos FCCaracas FCPrimera División0-0
2019-08-25Trujillanos FCCaracas FCPrimera División0-0
2019-03-02Caracas FCTrujillanos FCPrimera División1-0
2018-09-12Caracas FCTrujillanos FCPrimera División2-0
2018-01-28Trujillanos FCCaracas FCPrimera División1-1
2017-10-29Trujillanos FCCaracas FCPrimera División3-2
2017-05-21Caracas FCTrujillanos FCPrimera División4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.2%, draw 30.9%, away 34.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.64 2.92 2.55
Bet365 2.45 3.00 2.62
Marathonbet 2.64 2.92 2.55
Pinnacle 2.70 2.99 2.59
William Hill 2.62 2.90 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.64 ▼ -0.07
X 2.92 ▼ -0.10
2 2.59 ▲ +0.16

4 snapshots recorded, from .