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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Caracas FC vs Monagas SC

0 – 1 Full time

33′Christian Adan·Larotonda Adan
39′Ronald José Rodríguez
42′Jeriel De Santis
46′Christian Adan·Larotonda AdanChris Martinez
46′Jeriel De SantisSebastian Gonzalez
47′Jean Colorado
47′Luis González
59′Alejandro Villarreal
66′Wilfred CorreaMiguel Vegas
66′Robert HernandezMichael Covea
68′dhylan castilloedgar carrion
68′Ronald José RodríguezEdder Farias
73′Luis GonzálezFelipe Jaramillo
73′Alejandro VillarrealAngel Figueroa
77′Andrés Romero
80′Miguel Vegas
81′Fernando BasanteFacundo Queiroz
81′Jean ColoradoSantiago Andrés Natera Maradey
90′Kevin De la Hoz

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, CaracasReferee: C. Marabay

Caracas FC 44%
Draw 29%
Monagas SC 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Caracas FC vs Monagas SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Caracas FC vs Monagas SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCaracas FCDrawMonagas SC
Model40.2%30.1%29.7%
Market45.0%28.5%26.5%
Final43.8%28.9%27.3%
Edge-4.8%+1.6%+3.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Caracas FC ↓ / Monagas SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Caracas FC and Monagas SC expected goals

Caracas FC 1.30
Monagas SC 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.40

Caracas FC and Monagas SC attack and defence ratings

Caracas FC

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Monagas SC

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Caracas FC vs Monagas SC: result vs prediction

Caracas FC 0 – 1 Monagas SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Caracas FC vs Monagas SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Caracas FC 43.8% 2.28 -4.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.1% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score No 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.9% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Caracas FC43.8%
Draw28.9%
Monagas SC27.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.9%
Under 2.557.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.7%
No50.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.7%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)56.2%
Handicap -1Caracas FC win18.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss59.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-010.6%
0-010.4%

Caracas FC vs Monagas SC stats

Caracas FC and Monagas SC recent form

newest first
Caracas FC WDDDWL
Monagas SC LWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Caracas FC and Monagas SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Caracas FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Monagas SC record

  • They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Caracas FC vs Monagas SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Caracas FC wins 5Draws 2Monagas SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22Monagas SCCaracas FCVenezuela Primera División1-1
2025-09-28Monagas SCCaracas FCVenezuela Primera División2-2
2025-04-18Caracas FCMonagas SCVenezuela Primera División1-4
2024-09-20Caracas FCMonagas SCPrimera División1-2
2024-03-24Monagas SCCaracas FCPrimera División1-1
2024-01-28Monagas SCCaracas FCFriendlies Clubs2-3
2023-06-24Caracas FCMonagas SCPrimera División2-0
2023-05-20Monagas SCCaracas FCPrimera División0-2
2022-07-22Monagas SCCaracas FCPrimera División0-0
2022-04-30Caracas FCMonagas SCPrimera División2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Caracas FC vs Monagas SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 28.5%, away 26.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.02 3.16 3.46
Bet365 1.95 3.10 3.50
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 3.40
Betano 2.05 3.30 3.35
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.30
Marathonbet 2.00 3.16 3.38
Pinnacle 2.04 3.22 3.44
SBO 1.91 3.02 3.05
William Hill 2.10 3.10 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.12
X 3.16 ▼ -0.10
2 3.40 ▼ -0.35

4 snapshots recorded, from .