Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC

0 – 1 Full time

18′Thoma Riveros
33′Rafael Arace
44′Jailerth Navarro
46′E. CarrionD. Castillo
57′H. DiazL. Gonzalez
57′R. AraceB. Uruena
58′R. FigueroaS. Ramirez
58′J. NavarroM. Diaz
68′R. GarcesR. Sangiovani
68′J. RamirezMiku
71′dhylan castillo
71′A. RodasJ. Paz
71′A. RomeroC. Ramirez
79′Miku
83′K. OrtizA. Bianciotti
88′Augustin Bianciotti
90′Bryan Urueña
90′Rafael Sangiovani

Monumental de Maturín, MaturinReferee: R. Cueva

Monagas SC 40%
Draw 28%
Metropolitanos FC 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMonagas SCDrawMetropolitanos FC
Model33.7%25.8%40.5%
Market42.3%28.7%29.0%
Final40.1%28.0%31.9%
Edge-8.6%-2.9%+11.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Monagas SC ↓ / Metropolitanos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Monagas SC and Metropolitanos FC expected goals

Monagas SC 1.48
Metropolitanos FC 1.64

Total expected goals: 3.12

Monagas SC and Metropolitanos FC attack and defence ratings

Monagas SC

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Metropolitanos FC

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC: result vs prediction

Monagas SC 0 – 1 Metropolitanos FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Monagas SC 40.1% 2.49 -8.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.3% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Monagas SC40.1%
Draw28.0%
Metropolitanos FC31.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.3%
Under 2.539.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.3%
No36.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.1%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.9%
Handicap -1Monagas SC win16.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.3%
Loss66.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC stats

Monagas SC and Metropolitanos FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Monagas SC and Metropolitanos FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Monagas SC record

  • They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metropolitanos FC record

  • They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Monagas SC wins 2Draws 5Metropolitanos FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-18Metropolitanos FCMonagas SCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2025-08-30Monagas SCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División2-0
2025-03-30Metropolitanos FCMonagas SCVenezuela Primera División2-2
2024-07-18Metropolitanos FCMonagas SCPrimera División1-2
2024-07-14Monagas SCMetropolitanos FCCopa Venezuela0-2
2024-02-03Monagas SCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División2-4
2023-07-09Metropolitanos FCMonagas SCPrimera División3-2
2023-05-07Monagas SCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División0-2
2022-10-29Metropolitanos FCMonagas SCPrimera División1-1
2022-10-22Metropolitanos FCMonagas SCPrimera División0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Monagas SC vs Metropolitanos FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 28.9%, away 29.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.14 3.12 3.19
Bet365 2.05 3.25 3.10
BetVictor 2.10 3.40 3.13
Betano 2.65 3.05 2.60
Betfair 2.63 3.25 2.40
Marathonbet 2.14 3.10 3.10
Pinnacle 2.13 3.16 3.19
Unibet 2.40 3.05 2.63
William Hill 2.25 3.10 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.13 ▼ -0.46
X 3.14 ▲ +0.12
2 3.12 ▲ +0.59

8 snapshots recorded, from .