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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC

1 – 1 Full time

27′J. Sinisterra
35′Arles Flores
45′J. PerezJ. Martinez
46′V. H. Navas BarreraH. Garcia
46′J. MaderaE. Gallardo
50′heber garcia
51′Richard Celis
54′G. Aguirre
58′C. UrpinK. Zuniga
58′A. YepezC. Montana
63′A. FloresJ. Valencia
63′R. CelisMarco Bustillo
71′Sergio·Sulbaran
73′R. RojasR. Mendoza
76′S. SulbaranN. Martinez
82′J. SinisterraB. Rodriguez
87′Marco bustillo

Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez, AraureReferee: C. Marabay

Portuguesa FC 48%
Draw 28%
Zamora FC 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPortuguesa FCDrawZamora FC
Model59.7%24.5%15.8%
Market44.2%29.8%25.9%
Final48.1%28.5%23.4%
Edge+15.5%-5.4%-10.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Portuguesa FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Portuguesa FC below the model: +15.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Portuguesa FC ↓ / Zamora FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Portuguesa FC and Zamora FC expected goals

Portuguesa FC 1.84
Zamora FC 0.85

Total expected goals: 2.69

Portuguesa FC and Zamora FC attack and defence ratings

Portuguesa FC

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Zamora FC

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC: result vs prediction

Portuguesa FC 1 – 1 Zamora FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Portuguesa FC 48.1% 2.08 +15.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.4% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score No 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.6% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.3% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Portuguesa FC48.1%
Draw28.5%
Zamora FC23.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.4%
Under 2.549.6%
Both teams to scoreYes49.2%
No50.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.6%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)51.9%
Handicap -1Portuguesa FC win35.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss40.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-011.5%
1-011.4%

Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC stats

Portuguesa FC and Zamora FC recent form

newest first
Portuguesa FC DDDWWL
Zamora FC LDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Portuguesa FC and Zamora FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Portuguesa FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Zamora FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Portuguesa FC wins 0Draws 4Zamora FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-18Zamora FCPortuguesa FCVenezuela Primera División0-2
2025-07-20Zamora FCPortuguesa FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2025-02-07Portuguesa FCZamora FCVenezuela Primera División2-1
2024-10-19Portuguesa FCZamora FCPrimera División2-3
2024-06-30Zamora FCPortuguesa FCCopa Venezuela0-1
2024-06-13Portuguesa FCZamora FCCopa Venezuela1-2
2024-04-19Zamora FCPortuguesa FCPrimera División0-2
2023-07-10Zamora FCPortuguesa FCPrimera División1-2
2023-05-05Portuguesa FCZamora FCPrimera División2-1
2022-07-17Portuguesa FCZamora FCPrimera División2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 29.8%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.06 3.04 3.48
Bet365 1.91 2.90 3.80
BetVictor 1.95 3.25 3.70
Marathonbet 2.04 3.04 3.40
Pinnacle 2.06 3.07 3.49
William Hill 2.10 3.00 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.20
X 3.04 ▼ -0.20
2 3.50 ▼ -0.50

2 snapshots recorded, from .