Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC

1 – 1 Full time

6′José Luis Ochoa Machado
10′Christopher Montaña
27′german aguirre
31′luis dugarteJean Sanchez
33′David Copete
36′german aguirre
45′german aguirre
45′Jesus Barrios
46′David CopeteKelvin Pacheco
46′Albaro PoloMoisés Acuña
48′Jorge Luis Gomez
49′Moisés Acuña
65′Jesus BarriosCristian Maldonado
65′Victor Hugo·Navas BarreraGuillermo·Benitez
65′Christopher MontañaLautaro Lovazzano
75′Joel MartínezRobert Daniel Mendoza Mujica
79′Andres KinslerJose Moran
79′Jorge Luis GomezGilmar Martinez
81′Guillermo·Benitez
90′Keiver ZunigaCesar Urpin

Estadio José Pachencho Romero, MaracaiboReferee: R. Cueva

Rayo Zuliano 26%
Draw 26%
Portuguesa FC 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRayo ZulianoDrawPortuguesa FC
Model25.3%24.5%50.2%
Market25.7%26.5%47.8%
Final25.6%26.0%48.4%
Edge-0.5%-2.0%+2.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Portuguesa FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.29.
  • The market prices Portuguesa FC below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rayo Zuliano ↓ / Portuguesa FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Rayo Zuliano and Portuguesa FC expected goals

Rayo Zuliano 1.29
Portuguesa FC 1.88

Total expected goals: 3.17

Rayo Zuliano and Portuguesa FC attack and defence ratings

Rayo Zuliano

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.69 +69%

Portuguesa FC

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC: result vs prediction

Rayo Zuliano 1 – 1 Portuguesa FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Portuguesa FC 48.4% 2.07 +2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.5% 1.60 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.8% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rayo Zuliano25.6%
Draw26.0%
Portuguesa FC48.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%
Both teams to scoreYes62.5%
No37.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.6%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)74.4%
Handicap -1Portuguesa FC win29.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss49.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-29.6%
0-27.4%

Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC stats

Rayo Zuliano and Portuguesa FC recent form

newest first
Rayo Zuliano LWLLLW
Portuguesa FC DDDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rayo Zuliano and Portuguesa FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rayo Zuliano record

  • They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Portuguesa FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

5Rayo Zuliano wins 2Draws 0Portuguesa FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22Portuguesa FCRayo ZulianoVenezuela Primera División1-1
2025-08-11Portuguesa FCRayo ZulianoVenezuela Primera División1-2
2025-02-28Rayo ZulianoPortuguesa FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2024-07-17Portuguesa FCRayo ZulianoPrimera División1-2
2024-02-03Rayo ZulianoPortuguesa FCPrimera División3-1
2023-08-20Portuguesa FCRayo ZulianoPrimera División1-2
2023-03-19Rayo ZulianoPortuguesa FCPrimera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.7%, draw 26.5%, away 47.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.53 3.42 1.90
Bet365 3.60 3.40 1.83
BetVictor 3.60 3.60 1.87
Betano 3.40 3.45 1.98
Betfair 3.40 3.60 1.90
Marathonbet 3.46 3.42 1.88
Pinnacle 3.56 3.45 1.92
SBO 3.12 3.05 1.88
William Hill 3.60 3.30 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.53 ▲ +0.03
X 3.42 ▲ +0.10
2 1.90 ▼ -0.02

4 snapshots recorded, from .