Venezuela Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Portuguesa FC
vs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2 – 1 Full time
Portuguesa FC
45%
Draw
32%
Estudiantes de Merida FC
23%
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
| Probability | Portuguesa FC | Draw | Estudiantes de Merida FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.0% | 32.2% | 22.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.0% | 32.2% | 22.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Portuguesa FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.81.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
60%
3+ goals
32%
No goals
15%
Portuguesa FC and Estudiantes de Merida FC expected goals
Portuguesa FC
1.17
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0.81
Total expected goals: 1.98
Portuguesa FC and Estudiantes de Merida FC attack and defence ratings
Portuguesa FC
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: result vs prediction
Portuguesa FC 2 – 1 Estudiantes de Merida FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portuguesa FC | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portuguesa FC | 45.0% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| Estudiantes de Merida FC | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Portuguesa FC win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC stats
Portuguesa FC and Estudiantes de Merida FC recent form
| Portuguesa FC |
DDDDDW |
| Estudiantes de Merida FC |
WLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portuguesa FC and Estudiantes de Merida FC going into this match
Portuguesa FC record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Estudiantes de Merida FC record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Portuguesa FC wins
3Draws
3Estudiantes de Merida FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Portuguesa FC | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Copa Venezuela | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-29 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Portuguesa FC | Copa Venezuela | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-11 | Portuguesa FC | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Venezuela Primera División | 4-2 |
| 2024-10-12 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Portuguesa FC | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-13 | Portuguesa FC | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2023-07-16 | Portuguesa FC | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2023-04-30 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Portuguesa FC | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-07 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Portuguesa FC | Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.