Venezuela Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Carabobo FC
vs
Deportivo La Guaira
1 – 0 Full time
| 25′ | A. GonzalezM. Guaramato | ||
| 31′ | Sebastian Mendoza | ||
| 32′ | Rommell Ibarra | ||
| 39′ | Abraham Bahachille | ||
| 42′ | Manuel Alejandro Sulbarán Solano | ||
| 46′ | S. MendozaM. Cova | ||
| 54′ | Juan Luis Perdomo | ||
| 55′ | Matias Adrian Nuñez | ||
| 59′ | J. PerdomoM. Gonzalez | ||
| 59′ | S. ZeballosJ. Meza | ||
| 62′ | E. Ramirez | ||
| 64′ | Y. OrozcoD. Meza | ||
| 64′ | B. CastilloD. Machis | ||
| 66′ | Maurice Cova | ||
| 80′ | J. CastellanosJ. Herrera | ||
| 82′ | J. BeriosJ. Fuentes | ||
| 85′ | L. MartinezN. Hernandez | ||
| 85′ | M. SulbaranA. Uribe |
Carabobo FC
50%
Draw
27%
Deportivo La Guaira
23%
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
| Probability | Carabobo FC | Draw | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.0% | 26.8% | 23.2% |
| Market | 49.8% | 27.6% | 22.6% |
| Final | 49.8% | 27.4% | 22.8% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -0.7% | +0.5% |
Why Carabobo FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.06.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Carabobo FC and Deportivo La Guaira expected goals
Carabobo FC
1.65
Deportivo La Guaira
1.06
Total expected goals: 2.70
Carabobo FC and Deportivo La Guaira attack and defence ratings
Carabobo FC
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Deportivo La Guaira
Attack
1.31 +31%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira: result vs prediction
Carabobo FC 1 – 0 Deportivo La Guaira
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carabobo FC | 49.8% | 2.01 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carabobo FC | 49.8% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carabobo FC win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 50.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira stats
Carabobo FC and Deportivo La Guaira recent form
| Carabobo FC |
WWLDDW |
| Deportivo La Guaira |
LWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Carabobo FC and Deportivo La Guaira going into this match
Carabobo FC record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo La Guaira record
- They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Carabobo FC wins
6Draws
1Deportivo La Guaira wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Deportivo La Guaira | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Carabobo FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-17 | Deportivo La Guaira | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Carabobo FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Deportivo La Guaira | Carabobo FC | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Carabobo FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2024-03-19 | Deportivo La Guaira | Carabobo FC | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2024-01-27 | Deportivo La Guaira | Carabobo FC | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
| 2023-07-15 | Deportivo La Guaira | Carabobo FC | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-29 | Carabobo FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.8%, draw 27.6%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.24 | 4.03 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.24 | 3.92 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.31 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.25 | 4.00 |