Venezuela Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 9
Puerto Cabello
vs
Carabobo FC
0 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | Leonardo AponteJean Franco Fuentes | ||
| 46′ | Heiber LinaresRoberto Rosales | ||
| 58′ | Sebastian Mendoza | ||
| 62′ | Jhon MarchánJayson Martinez | ||
| 68′ | Abraham BahachilleJonathan Bilbao | ||
| 69′ | Darwin MachísYohandry Orozco | ||
| 71′ | Harrison ContrerasDaniel Saggiomo | ||
| 77′ | Jefre Vargasrobinson flores | ||
| 77′ | Jose HernandezAndrés Ponce | ||
| 82′ | Yohandry Orozco | ||
| 84′ | Sebastian Mendozamarcel guaramato | ||
| 84′ | Maurice CovaMatias Adrian Nuñez |
Puerto Cabello
44%
Draw
31%
Carabobo FC
25%
Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC
| Probability | Puerto Cabello | Draw | Carabobo FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.0% | 32.9% | 22.2% |
| Market | 43.5% | 30.2% | 26.3% |
| Final | 43.9% | 30.9% | 25.2% |
| Edge | +1.4% | +2.7% | -4.1% |
Why Puerto Cabello
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
31%
No goals
16%
Puerto Cabello and Carabobo FC expected goals
Puerto Cabello
1.19
Carabobo FC
0.76
Total expected goals: 1.95
Puerto Cabello and Carabobo FC attack and defence ratings
Puerto Cabello
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.67 -33%
Carabobo FC
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC: result vs prediction
Puerto Cabello 0 – 2 Carabobo FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puerto Cabello | 43.9% | 2.28 | +1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puerto Cabello | 43.9% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Carabobo FC | 25.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.3% |
| No | 61.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Puerto Cabello win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 55.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.7% |
| 0-0 | 15.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC stats
Puerto Cabello and Carabobo FC recent form
| Puerto Cabello |
DDWDWW |
| Carabobo FC |
WLDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Puerto Cabello and Carabobo FC going into this match
Puerto Cabello record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Carabobo FC record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Puerto Cabello wins
2Draws
7Carabobo FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Carabobo FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Carabobo FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Carabobo FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Carabobo FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Puerto Cabello | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-10 | Carabobo FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Puerto Cabello | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-3 |
| 2024-07-18 | Carabobo FC | Puerto Cabello | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-03 | Carabobo FC | Puerto Cabello | Copa Venezuela | 1-2 |
| 2024-06-20 | Puerto Cabello | Carabobo FC | Copa Venezuela | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 30.2%, away 26.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 2.97 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.13 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 2.97 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.07 | 3.50 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 2.87 | 3.12 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.08 ▼ -0.01
X
3.00 ▼ -0.02
2
3.45 ▼ -0.02
2 snapshots recorded, from .