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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello

1 – 1 Full time

24′E. Pernia
39′Carlos Sosa
46′A. PerezV. Adamo
46′J. MartinezJ. Velasquez
53′J. VargasL. Casiani
57′Edwuin Pernía
63′A. PenarandaB. Palmezano
63′A. WoiskiH. Ramirez
63′R. RosalesG. Melendez
63′E. PerniaR. D. Flores Barrios
71′J. Velasquez
77′J. MorenoJ. Marchan
77′D. SaggiomoP. Lima
78′Luis Cassiani
84′robinson flores
86′J. CaraballoC. Mendez
87′R. PolleroL. Zuniga
90′Jiovany Ramos
90′Brayan Palmezano
90′D. AlfonzoF. Provenzano

Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, San CristobalReferee: F. Briceno

Deportivo Tachira FC 43%
Draw 30%
Puerto Cabello 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo Tachira FCDrawPuerto Cabello
Model44.4%29.2%26.5%
Market42.1%29.8%28.1%
Final42.7%29.6%27.7%
Edge+2.2%-0.6%-1.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Tachira FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Deportivo Tachira FC below the model: +2.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Tach ↓ / Puerto Cabello → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 11% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello expected goals

Deportivo Tachira FC 1.42
Puerto Cabello 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.47

Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Puerto Cabello

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello: result vs prediction

Deportivo Tachira FC 1 – 1 Puerto Cabello

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Tachira FC 42.7% 2.34 +2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.3% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.4% 1.98 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.6% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Tachira FC42.7%
Draw29.6%
Puerto Cabello27.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.7%
Under 2.555.3%
Both teams to scoreYes50.4%
No49.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.3%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)57.3%
Handicap -1Deportivo Tachira FC win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss55.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-010.8%
0-09.8%

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello stats

Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello recent form

newest first
Deportivo Tachira FC LWWDLW
Puerto Cabello LDDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Tachira FC record

  • They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puerto Cabello record

  • They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Deportivo Tachira FC wins 2Draws 2Puerto Cabello wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-2
2025-09-21Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-06-07Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División2-0
2025-05-03Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-2
2025-04-14Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División3-2
2024-08-29Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-0
2024-03-08Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División0-1
2023-11-04Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División2-1
2023-10-29Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-1
2023-07-16Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 29.8%, away 28.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.11 3.06 3.24
Bet365 2.20 3.00 3.10
BetVictor 2.20 3.10 3.25
Betfair 2.10 3.10 3.25
Marathonbet 2.09 3.06 3.15
Pinnacle 2.16 3.13 3.22
William Hill 2.20 3.00 3.30

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.